IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Portland
West Coast
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.1	#307
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	75.5	#52
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.4	#252

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.7	#327

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.1	11.0	13.7

.500 or above	5.9%	27.2%	5.2%
.500 or above in Conference	2.6%	10.0%	2.4%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	66.5%	40.5%	67.3%

First Four	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Arizona St. (Away) - 3.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 6
Quad 2	0 - 5	0 - 11
Quad 3	2 - 7	2 - 18
Quad 4	7 - 5	9 - 23

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	61	@ Arizona St.	L	73-93	3%
Nov 13, 2021	347	Alcorn St.	W	82-73	80%
Nov 18, 2021	355	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	81-66	91%
Nov 20, 2021	256	Morgan St.	W	83-82	51%
Nov 23, 2021	220	@ Portland St.	L	75-83	24%
Nov 26, 2021	204	Montana St.	L	74-80	30%
Nov 27, 2021	268	Southeast Missouri St.	L	76-78	42%
Nov 28, 2021	345	@ Incarnate Word	W	75-73	58%
Dec 03, 2021	218	VMI	L	80-82	43%
Dec 13, 2021	305	Cal Poly	W	76-73	59%
Dec 15, 2021	19	@ Oregon	L	65-90	2%
Dec 17, 2021	322	San Jose St.	W	85-81	64%
Dec 19, 2021	204	@ Montana St.	L	72-81	23%
Dec 22, 2021	208	@ UC Davis	L	74-83	23%
Jan 01, 2022	38	BYU	L	70-86	9%
Jan 06, 2022	82	@ Loyola Marymount	L	66-84	8%
Jan 08, 2022	124	Santa Clara	L	76-84	26%
Jan 13, 2022	170	@ San Diego	L	73-84	19%
Jan 15, 2022	147	@ Pepperdine	L	75-88	16%
Jan 20, 2022	67	San Francisco	L	70-83	14%
Jan 22, 2022	38	@ BYU	L	67-89	4%
Jan 27, 2022	137	Pacific	L	71-78	28%
Jan 29, 2022	1	@ Gonzaga	L	71-103	1%
Feb 03, 2022	49	St. Mary's	L	63-78	12%
Feb 05, 2022	67	@ San Francisco	L	67-86	6%
Feb 12, 2022	82	Loyola Marymount	L	69-81	18%
Feb 17, 2022	170	San Diego	L	76-81	35%
Feb 19, 2022	147	Pepperdine	L	78-85	30%
Feb 24, 2022	137	@ Pacific	L	68-81	15%
Feb 26, 2022	124	@ Santa Clara	L	73-87	13%
Projected Record						8 - 22	3 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0						0.0	1st
2nd									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.1	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.5	3rd
4th								0.1	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.9	4th
5th						0.0	0.2	0.8	0.7	0.2	0.0								1.9	5th
6th					0.0	0.3	1.5	1.3	0.3	0.0									3.4	6th
7th				0.0	0.8	2.6	2.1	0.5	0.0										6.0	7th
8th			0.1	2.0	4.9	3.4	0.6	0.0											11.1	8th
9th		1.2	6.3	8.6	4.7	0.8	0.0												21.6	9th
10th	16.5	19.9	12.9	4.4	0.7	0.0													54.5	10th

Total	16.5	21.1	19.3	15.0	11.1	7.3	4.3	2.7	1.4	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0						Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3	0.0%
12-4	11.0%	0.0		0.0
11-5	1.7%	0.0				0.0
10-6	0.0%
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0		0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3	0.0%																							0.0
12-4	0.0%		27.1%	10.2%	16.9%	11.7											0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0			0.0		18.9%
11-5	0.1%		4.9%	1.7%	3.2%	11.5									0.0					0.0				0.1		3.2%
10-6	0.3%																							0.3
9-7	0.7%																							0.7
8-8	1.4%		0.4%	0.4%		13.7													0.0		0.0	0.0		1.4
7-9	2.7%		0.1%	0.1%		15.0																0.0		2.7
6-10	4.3%		0.1%	0.1%		13.0														0.0				4.3
5-11	7.3%		0.1%	0.1%		15.7																0.0	0.0	7.3
4-12	11.1%																							11.1
3-13	15.0%																							15.0
2-14	19.3%																							19.3
1-15	21.1%																							21.1
0-16	16.5%																							16.5

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	13.1									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%