Preseason Rankings
Radford
Big South
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#264
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace60.7#345
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#272
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#246
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.3% 18.3% 7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.1 15.2
.500 or above 29.5% 68.6% 28.5%
.500 or above in Conference 61.7% 86.4% 61.0%
Conference Champion 7.9% 21.7% 7.5%
Last Place in Conference 5.2% 0.9% 5.3%
First Four2.2% 1.3% 2.2%
First Round6.2% 17.6% 5.9%
Second Round0.3% 1.7% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia (Away) - 2.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 52 - 11
Quad 410 - 612 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 29   @ Virginia L 46-67 3%    
  Nov 15, 2021 34   @ Virginia Tech L 55-75 4%    
  Nov 19, 2021 109   @ Furman L 60-73 13%    
  Nov 20, 2021 184   Navy L 62-67 34%    
  Nov 24, 2021 295   William & Mary W 69-64 66%    
  Nov 28, 2021 180   Eastern Kentucky L 73-75 44%    
  Dec 04, 2021 32   @ West Virginia L 58-79 4%    
  Dec 11, 2021 172   @ James Madison L 67-76 24%    
  Dec 13, 2021 238   @ George Washington L 65-69 36%    
  Dec 18, 2021 98   @ Davidson L 56-70 13%    
  Dec 20, 2021 128   @ Akron L 62-73 18%    
  Dec 29, 2021 229   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 63-68 35%    
  Jan 05, 2022 343   @ South Carolina Upstate W 69-64 64%    
  Jan 08, 2022 286   N.C. A&T W 71-67 63%    
  Jan 12, 2022 249   Longwood W 64-62 58%    
  Jan 15, 2022 200   @ Campbell L 60-67 29%    
  Jan 19, 2022 329   Hampton W 74-66 73%    
  Jan 22, 2022 252   UNC Asheville W 70-67 58%    
  Jan 26, 2022 299   @ High Point L 64-65 47%    
  Jan 29, 2022 225   @ Gardner-Webb L 63-68 34%    
  Feb 02, 2022 335   Charleston Southern W 72-63 76%    
  Feb 05, 2022 319   Presbyterian W 67-61 70%    
  Feb 09, 2022 143   @ Winthrop L 67-77 21%    
  Feb 12, 2022 329   @ Hampton W 71-69 56%    
  Feb 16, 2022 200   Campbell L 63-64 48%    
  Feb 19, 2022 299   High Point W 67-62 65%    
  Feb 23, 2022 249   @ Longwood L 61-65 39%    
  Feb 26, 2022 286   @ N.C. A&T L 68-70 44%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.1 2.5 1.4 0.4 7.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.0 2.6 0.8 0.1 10.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.2 4.5 2.2 0.3 0.0 10.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.4 4.8 2.0 0.2 10.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.0 5.2 2.1 0.2 0.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 5.1 2.4 0.2 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 4.7 2.6 0.3 9.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.0 3.0 0.4 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.2 2.6 0.5 0.0 7.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.4 0.6 0.0 6.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.6 0.5 0.0 4.6 11th
12th 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 2.8 12th
Total 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.2 5.0 7.4 9.1 10.9 11.6 11.9 10.9 9.6 7.7 5.1 3.3 1.4 0.4 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
15-1 96.2% 1.4    1.2 0.2
14-2 76.5% 2.5    1.7 0.8 0.1
13-3 42.0% 2.1    1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0
12-4 16.1% 1.2    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1
11-5 2.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 7.9% 7.9 4.4 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.4% 59.0% 58.4% 0.6% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5%
15-1 1.4% 40.2% 40.1% 0.2% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.3%
14-2 3.3% 31.1% 31.1% 0.1% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 2.2 0.1%
13-3 5.1% 23.3% 23.3% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 3.9
12-4 7.7% 16.9% 16.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 6.4
11-5 9.6% 12.3% 12.3% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 8.4
10-6 10.9% 7.4% 7.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 10.1
9-7 11.9% 4.3% 4.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 11.4
8-8 11.6% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 11.3
7-9 10.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.7
6-10 9.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 9.0
5-11 7.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.4
4-12 5.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.0
3-13 3.2% 3.2
2-14 1.8% 1.8
1-15 0.8% 0.8
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.0 3.4 92.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%