IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.6	#193
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	78.0	#24
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.1	#172

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.7	#232

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.6%	1.6%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.7%	0.7%	0.0%
Average Seed	11.0	11.0	n/a

.500 or above	32.9%	33.4%	4.3%
.500 or above in Conference	25.2%	25.6%	4.9%
Conference Champion	0.8%	0.8%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	14.6%	14.2%	37.6%

First Four	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
First Round	1.4%	1.5%	0.0%
Second Round	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Home) - 98.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 9
Quad 3	3 - 5	5 - 15
Quad 4	9 - 3	13 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	356	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	84-61	98%
Nov 13, 2021	242	Mount St. Mary's	W	71-65	71%
Nov 17, 2021	175	Drexel	W	74-73	55%
Nov 20, 2021	216	Monmouth	W	86-82	64%
Nov 25, 2021	20	USC	L	67-82	10%
Dec 01, 2021	327	Binghamton	W	81-70	83%
Dec 04, 2021	6	@ Villanova	L	63-84	4%
Dec 08, 2021	187	Penn	W	79-76	58%
Dec 11, 2021	120	Temple	L	74-76	44%
Dec 18, 2021	157	@ Bradley	L	72-77	34%
Dec 22, 2021	321	Holy Cross	W	84-73	81%
Dec 30, 2021	57	@ Richmond	L	71-85	14%
Jan 02, 2022	238	George Washington	W	81-75	67%
Jan 05, 2022	98	Davidson	L	70-74	37%
Jan 08, 2022	169	@ George Mason	L	73-78	35%
Jan 12, 2022	101	@ Rhode Island	L	73-83	21%
Jan 17, 2022	210	La Salle	W	80-76	62%
Jan 22, 2022	77	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	71-83	18%
Jan 26, 2022	162	Duquesne	W	77-76	54%
Jan 29, 2022	28	@ St. Bonaventure	L	64-81	9%
Feb 05, 2022	275	Fordham	W	70-63	72%
Feb 09, 2022	98	@ Davidson	L	67-77	22%
Feb 12, 2022	119	@ Massachusetts	L	78-86	26%
Feb 16, 2022	169	George Mason	W	76-75	55%
Feb 19, 2022	87	Dayton	L	71-76	36%
Feb 22, 2022	79	@ Saint Louis	L	71-83	19%
Feb 26, 2022	28	St. Bonaventure	L	67-78	19%
Mar 02, 2022	210	@ La Salle	L	77-79	43%
Mar 05, 2022	101	Rhode Island	L	76-80	38%
Projected Record						12 - 17	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.0				1.7	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.4	0.9	0.8	0.2	0.0					2.2	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	1.4	1.2	0.3	0.0						3.3	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	1.7	1.8	0.5	0.0							4.4	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	2.0	2.5	0.8	0.1								5.6	6th
7th							0.0	0.2	2.0	3.4	1.3	0.1									7.1	7th
8th						0.0	0.2	1.9	4.1	2.0	0.2	0.0									8.3	8th
9th					0.0	0.1	1.8	4.5	2.9	0.4	0.0										9.7	9th
10th				0.0	0.1	1.7	4.9	3.9	0.7	0.0	0.0										11.2	10th
11th				0.1	1.6	5.1	4.1	0.9	0.0												12.0	11th
12th			0.2	2.0	5.2	4.1	1.2	0.1	0.0												12.7	12th
13th		0.5	2.4	4.6	3.5	1.0	0.1	0.0													12.0	13th
14th	0.9	2.5	3.0	1.9	0.6	0.0															8.8	14th

Total	0.9	3.1	5.5	8.6	11.0	12.0	12.2	11.5	10.0	8.1	6.2	4.5	2.8	1.7	1.0	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	87.0%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
15-3	55.9%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-4	23.9%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	4.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0			0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.8%	0.8		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%	33.3%	66.7%	4.0				0.0	0.0	0.0														100.0%
17-1	0.1%		90.3%	37.7%	52.7%	6.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		84.5%
16-2	0.2%		72.7%	25.9%	46.7%	8.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		63.1%
15-3	0.4%		52.1%	19.2%	33.0%	9.8					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.2		40.8%
14-4	1.0%		35.0%	16.2%	18.8%	10.8						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.7		22.4%
13-5	1.7%		13.0%	6.2%	6.8%	11.5								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		1.5		7.3%
12-6	2.8%		6.4%	4.6%	1.9%	12.0									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		2.7		1.9%
11-7	4.5%		3.7%	2.7%	1.0%	12.6											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		4.3		1.1%
10-8	6.2%		1.4%	1.4%	0.0%	13.3											0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	6.1		0.0%
9-9	8.1%		0.9%	0.9%		13.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	8.1
8-10	10.0%		0.2%	0.2%		13.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		10.0
7-11	11.5%		0.1%	0.1%		15.0														0.0		0.0	0.0	11.5
6-12	12.2%																							12.2
5-13	12.0%																							12.0
4-14	11.0%																							11.0
3-15	8.6%																							8.6
2-16	5.5%																							5.5
1-17	3.1%																							3.1
0-18	0.9%																							0.9

Total	100%		1.6%	0.9%	0.7%	11.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	98.4		0.7%