IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
St. Thomas
Summit League
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-19.2	#353
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.3	#179
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-9.2	#351

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-10.0	#354

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	n/a	n/a	n/a

.500 or above	0.6%	1.2%	0.1%
.500 or above in Conference	1.4%	2.3%	0.5%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	67.0%	57.9%	75.6%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Chicago St. (Away) - 48.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 7	0 - 10
Quad 4	4 - 13	4 - 23

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	357	@ Chicago St.	L	74-75	49%
Nov 13, 2021	320	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	L	72-85	12%
Nov 15, 2021	275	@ Fordham	L	55-71	8%
Nov 19, 2021	281	@ Youngstown St.	L	65-81	9%
Nov 20, 2021	250	Niagara	L	62-76	11%
Nov 21, 2021	328	SIU Edwardsville	L	67-76	23%
Nov 27, 2021	179	@ Seattle	L	63-85	4%
Dec 05, 2021	73	@ Drake	L	56-86	1%
Dec 11, 2021	204	Montana St.	L	66-80	12%
Dec 20, 2021	326	@ Nebraska Omaha	L	70-82	16%
Dec 22, 2021	344	@ Denver	L	71-80	23%
Jan 01, 2022	274	Western Illinois	L	73-83	21%
Jan 06, 2022	154	Oral Roberts	L	70-87	9%
Jan 08, 2022	233	UMKC	L	59-71	16%
Jan 13, 2022	130	@ North Dakota St.	L	57-82	3%
Jan 15, 2022	313	@ North Dakota	L	66-80	14%
Jan 20, 2022	99	South Dakota St.	L	68-90	4%
Jan 22, 2022	186	South Dakota	L	68-83	11%
Jan 29, 2022	274	@ Western Illinois	L	70-86	10%
Feb 03, 2022	233	@ UMKC	L	56-74	8%
Feb 05, 2022	154	@ Oral Roberts	L	67-90	4%
Feb 10, 2022	313	North Dakota	L	69-77	28%
Feb 12, 2022	130	North Dakota St.	L	60-79	7%
Feb 17, 2022	186	@ South Dakota	L	65-86	5%
Feb 19, 2022	99	@ South Dakota St.	L	65-93	1%
Feb 24, 2022	344	Denver	L	74-77	40%
Feb 26, 2022	326	Nebraska Omaha	L	73-79	32%
Projected Record						4 - 23	3 - 15

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Summit League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.0		0.0				0.0	1st
2nd												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.1	3rd
4th								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0							0.5	4th
5th							0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0									1.1	5th
6th						0.1	0.5	1.0	0.8	0.2	0.0										2.5	6th
7th					0.3	1.6	2.0	1.1	0.2	0.0	0.0										5.2	7th
8th			0.1	1.5	4.0	3.6	1.4	0.3	0.0												11.0	8th
9th		1.5	7.0	8.7	5.5	1.6	0.2	0.0													24.4	9th
10th	16.5	20.0	12.9	4.7	0.9	0.1	0.0														55.1	10th

Total	16.5	21.5	20.0	14.9	10.7	6.9	4.1	2.5	1.4	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.0					Total

Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	100.0%	0.0			0.0
15-3
14-4	15.4%	0.0				0.0
13-5	6.4%	0.0				0.0
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0			0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.0%																							0.0
15-3
14-4	0.0%																							0.0
13-5	0.0%																							0.0
12-6	0.1%																							0.1
11-7	0.2%																							0.2
10-8	0.4%																							0.4
9-9	0.7%																							0.7
8-10	1.4%																							1.4
7-11	2.5%																							2.5
6-12	4.1%																							4.1
5-13	6.9%																							6.9
4-14	10.7%																							10.7
3-15	14.9%																							14.9
2-16	20.0%																							20.0
1-17	21.5%																							21.5
0-18	16.5%																							16.5

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0																		100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	8.6%