Pre-tourney Rankings
San Diego
West Coast
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#221
Expected Predictive Rating-3.8#237
Pace70.6#119
Improvement-0.7#252

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#87
First Shot+3.9#69
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#217
Layup/Dunks-0.6#208
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#64
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#146
Freethrows+1.5#67
Improvement-0.7#260

Defense
Total Defense-6.4#343
First Shot-6.3#349
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#177
Layups/Dunks-1.8#256
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#269
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#340
Freethrows+0.5#142
Improvement+0.0#195
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC San Diego (Home) - 68.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 21 - 7
Quad 33 - 84 - 15
Quad 45 - 59 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2022 190   Florida Gulf Coast W 79-73 54%     1 - 0 +2.1 +1.8 +0.1
  Nov 13, 2022 328   NJIT W 74-64 82%     2 - 0 -2.8 +2.4 -4.2
  Nov 17, 2022 28   Utah St. L 89-91 OT 13%     2 - 1 +7.4 +10.8 -3.3
  Nov 25, 2022 184   New Mexico St. L 77-90 42%     2 - 2 -13.8 -0.6 -12.5
  Nov 26, 2022 271   Nicholls St. L 70-72 61%     2 - 3 -7.8 -2.2 -5.7
  Nov 28, 2022 175   Longwood W 71-68 52%     3 - 3 -0.5 -2.2 +1.7
  Dec 03, 2022 91   UNLV L 78-95 30%     3 - 4 -14.3 +2.5 -15.7
  Dec 10, 2022 161   California Baptist L 73-76 49%     3 - 5 -5.7 +2.5 -8.3
  Dec 12, 2022 253   UC San Diego W 78-73 69%    
  Dec 18, 2022 66   @ Arizona St. L 67-91 10%     3 - 6 -12.5 +1.6 -13.8
  Dec 20, 2022 146   @ UC Riverside W 92-84 OT 24%     4 - 6 +12.4 +15.3 -3.4
  Dec 22, 2022 321   @ Cal St. Northridge L 78-83 62%     4 - 7 -11.1 -1.4 -9.4
  Dec 29, 2022 15   @ St. Mary's L 58-85 4%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -9.9 -1.2 -10.0
  Dec 31, 2022 94   @ San Francisco W 80-68 15%     5 - 8 1 - 1 +20.1 +9.8 +10.2
  Jan 05, 2023 178   Pacific L 82-84 53%     5 - 9 1 - 2 -5.6 -0.2 -5.3
  Jan 07, 2023 77   BYU L 48-68 24%     5 - 10 1 - 3 -15.3 -18.9 +2.6
  Jan 12, 2023 185   Pepperdine W 92-89 54%     6 - 10 2 - 3 -0.8 +7.0 -8.1
  Jan 14, 2023 111   @ Loyola Marymount L 84-98 18%     6 - 11 2 - 4 -7.1 +11.8 -18.5
  Jan 19, 2023 155   @ Portland L 83-88 26%     6 - 12 2 - 5 -1.2 +11.1 -12.4
  Jan 26, 2023 185   @ Pepperdine W 87-78 31%     7 - 12 3 - 5 +11.1 +5.7 +4.4
  Jan 28, 2023 94   San Francisco L 81-94 31%     7 - 13 3 - 6 -10.8 +5.8 -16.2
  Feb 02, 2023 155   Portland L 61-80 47%     7 - 14 3 - 7 -21.1 -13.1 -9.1
  Feb 04, 2023 111   Loyola Marymount W 87-79 35%     8 - 14 4 - 7 +9.0 +15.8 -6.7
  Feb 09, 2023 85   @ Santa Clara L 75-80 12%     8 - 15 4 - 8 +4.8 +5.2 -0.3
  Feb 11, 2023 178   @ Pacific L 94-99 31%     8 - 16 4 - 9 -2.7 +14.8 -17.2
  Feb 16, 2023 15   St. Mary's L 59-62 10%     8 - 17 4 - 10 +8.2 +0.4 +7.5
  Feb 23, 2023 8   @ Gonzaga L 72-97 3%     8 - 18 4 - 11 -5.3 +3.2 -8.1
  Feb 25, 2023 85   Santa Clara L 63-81 26%     8 - 19 4 - 12 -14.1 -6.9 -7.7
  Mar 02, 2023 155   Portland L 74-92 36%     8 - 20 -17.1 -1.1 -16.2
Projected Record 9 - 20 4 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12 100.0% 100.0
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 68.5%
Lose Out 31.5%