Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal Poly
Big West
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#278
Expected Predictive Rating-9.5#327
Pace61.8#332
Improvement+0.1#173

Offense
Total Offense-6.9#340
First Shot-5.6#331
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#277
Layup/Dunks-2.4#283
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#118
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#301
Freethrows-1.0#266
Improvement-1.1#297

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#153
First Shot-1.9#238
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#5
Layups/Dunks+1.8#97
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#206
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#178
Freethrows-3.8#359
Improvement+1.2#50
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 90 - 9
Quad 32 - 92 - 18
Quad 44 - 76 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2022 94   @ San Francisco L 48-60 10%     0 - 1 -3.9 -25.9 +23.1
  Nov 18, 2022 86   @ Stanford L 43-80 8%     0 - 2 -27.2 -23.6 -7.1
  Nov 20, 2022 275   Mount St. Mary's L 68-73 61%     0 - 3 -14.1 -6.0 -8.2
  Nov 23, 2022 305   Idaho W 82-71 66%     1 - 3 +0.3 +14.2 -12.2
  Nov 28, 2022 178   @ Pacific W 62-58 21%     2 - 3 +6.3 -7.3 +13.9
  Dec 03, 2022 161   California Baptist W 64-53 37%     3 - 3 +8.3 -0.4 +10.1
  Dec 10, 2022 245   Portland St. W 72-49 55%     4 - 3 +15.5 +0.0 +17.1
  Dec 13, 2022 100   @ Washington L 68-74 10%     4 - 4 +1.7 +9.4 -8.4
  Dec 16, 2022 198   Weber St. L 45-74 43%     4 - 5 -33.4 -22.1 -14.8
  Dec 20, 2022 96   @ San Jose St. L 43-65 10%     4 - 6 -14.2 -21.2 +4.0
  Dec 29, 2022 321   Cal St. Northridge W 67-57 71%     5 - 6 1 - 0 -2.0 +0.0 -0.5
  Dec 31, 2022 130   @ Hawaii L 48-57 15%     5 - 7 1 - 1 -4.0 -12.2 +7.0
  Jan 05, 2023 287   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 51-61 39%     5 - 8 1 - 2 -13.5 -12.7 -2.3
  Jan 07, 2023 108   UC Santa Barbara L 57-62 24%     5 - 9 1 - 3 -3.9 -10.8 +6.4
  Jan 12, 2023 162   @ Long Beach St. L 58-77 19%     5 - 10 1 - 4 -15.9 -18.5 +4.3
  Jan 16, 2023 146   @ UC Riverside L 78-83 OT 16%     5 - 11 1 - 5 -0.6 +8.7 -9.5
  Jan 19, 2023 253   UC San Diego L 64-71 57%     5 - 12 1 - 6 -15.0 -7.7 -8.0
  Jan 21, 2023 160   @ UC Davis L 63-65 18%     5 - 13 1 - 7 +1.2 +0.6 +0.3
  Jan 26, 2023 162   Long Beach St. L 52-70 37%     5 - 14 1 - 8 -20.8 -20.9 -0.4
  Jan 28, 2023 127   Cal St. Fullerton L 36-65 30%     5 - 15 1 - 9 -29.7 -27.3 -9.0
  Feb 02, 2023 108   @ UC Santa Barbara L 62-68 11%     5 - 16 1 - 10 +1.1 +4.6 -4.9
  Feb 04, 2023 130   Hawaii L 56-69 30%     5 - 17 1 - 11 -13.9 -8.8 -6.2
  Feb 09, 2023 104   @ UC Irvine L 54-55 10%     5 - 18 1 - 12 +6.5 -10.1 +16.5
  Feb 11, 2023 321   @ Cal St. Northridge L 53-64 49%     5 - 19 1 - 13 -17.1 -16.1 -2.1
  Feb 15, 2023 287   Cal St. Bakersfield L 62-70 62%     5 - 20 1 - 14 -17.5 -8.8 -9.1
  Feb 18, 2023 127   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 62-83 14%     5 - 21 1 - 15 -15.8 -0.6 -17.2
  Feb 20, 2023 104   UC Irvine L 56-59 23%     5 - 22 1 - 16 -1.5 -10.4 +8.6
  Feb 25, 2023 160   UC Davis L 52-58 36%     5 - 23 1 - 17 -8.7 -19.1 +10.0
  Mar 04, 2023 146   UC Riverside L 72-73 OT 32%     5 - 24 1 - 18 -2.6 -5.3 +2.8
  Mar 07, 2023 162   Long Beach St. W 88-68 27%     6 - 24 +20.2 +9.4 +9.5
  Mar 09, 2023 108   UC Santa Barbara L 54-64 17%     6 - 25 -5.9 -13.4 +6.5
Projected Record 6 - 25 1 - 18




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19 100.0% 100.0
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%