Pre-tourney Rankings
Colonial Athletic
2024-25


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
113 UNC Wilmington 100.0%   14   25 - 7 14 - 4 25 - 7 14 - 4 +3.4      +3.7 82 -0.3 183 64.0 292 +4.3 106 +3.9 2
147 College of Charleston 0.0%   23 - 9 13 - 5 23 - 9 13 - 5 +0.7      -0.2 185 +1.0 143 74.4 42 +4.0 110 +2.5 3
152 Towson 0.0%   21 - 11 16 - 2 21 - 11 16 - 2 +0.5      +0.1 173 +0.4 162 60.7 348 +2.6 127 +8.9 1
183 Drexel 0.0%   17 - 15 9 - 9 17 - 15 9 - 9 -1.4      -2.0 223 +0.6 155 60.0 355 -2.6 201 -3.2 8
205 Elon 0.0%   15 - 15 8 - 10 15 - 15 8 - 10 -2.6      +0.2 171 -2.8 260 63.4 304 -2.7 204 -4.9 10
209 Northeastern 0.0%   17 - 15 9 - 9 17 - 15 9 - 9 -2.8      -2.2 229 -0.6 189 68.3 172 -2.2 196 -3.0 7
213 Hampton 0.0%   14 - 16 8 - 10 14 - 16 8 - 10 -2.9      -2.0 225 -0.9 199 64.7 275 -3.0 213 -4.5 9
218 Hofstra 0.0%   13 - 18 6 - 12 13 - 18 6 - 12 -3.2      -6.1 323 +3.0 96 61.0 347 -4.4 237 -7.7 11
221 Campbell 0.0%   13 - 17 10 - 8 13 - 17 10 - 8 -3.2      -3.6 263 +0.4 166 65.3 257 -5.0 249 -1.6 5
228 Delaware 0.0%   14 - 20 5 - 13 14 - 20 5 - 13 -3.6      +1.9 120 -5.5 324 74.6 37 -4.5 240 -8.4 12
234 William & Mary 0.0%   15 - 15 11 - 7 15 - 15 11 - 7 -4.0      -0.2 183 -3.8 286 77.3 14 -2.2 194 +0.2 4
251 Monmouth 0.0%   13 - 20 10 - 8 13 - 20 10 - 8 -4.9      -1.4 213 -3.4 273 67.9 182 -4.4 239 -1.8 6
324 Stony Brook 0.0%   7 - 24 4 - 14 7 - 24 4 - 14 -9.9      -2.8 248 -7.1 351 62.7 321 -10.1 322 -10.7 13
329 N.C. A&T 0.0%   6 - 25 3 - 15 6 - 25 3 - 15 -10.7      -6.6 333 -4.1 296 72.2 68 -12.1 338 -12.3 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
UNC Wilmington 2.0 100.0
College of Charleston 3.0 100.0
Towson 1.0 100.0
Drexel 7.0 100.0
Elon 9.0 100.0
Northeastern 7.0 100.0
Hampton 9.0 100.0
Hofstra 11.0 100.0
Campbell 5.0 100.0
Delaware 12.0 100.0
William & Mary 4.0 100.0
Monmouth 5.0 100.0
Stony Brook 13.0 100.0
N.C. A&T 14.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
UNC Wilmington 14 - 4 100.0
College of Charleston 13 - 5 100.0
Towson 16 - 2 100.0
Drexel 9 - 9 100.0
Elon 8 - 10 100.0
Northeastern 9 - 9 100.0
Hampton 8 - 10 100.0
Hofstra 6 - 12 100.0
Campbell 10 - 8 100.0
Delaware 5 - 13 100.0
William & Mary 11 - 7 100.0
Monmouth 10 - 8 100.0
Stony Brook 4 - 14 100.0
N.C. A&T 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
UNC Wilmington
College of Charleston
Towson 100.0% 100.0
Drexel
Elon
Northeastern
Hampton
Hofstra
Campbell
Delaware
William & Mary
Monmouth
Stony Brook
N.C. A&T


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
UNC Wilmington 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.3 19.0 74.3 6.4
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northeastern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hampton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hofstra 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Delaware 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stony Brook 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
N.C. A&T 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
UNC Wilmington 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 7.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northeastern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hampton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hofstra 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stony Brook 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N.C. A&T 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 7.7% 0.1 92.3 7.7
Sweet Sixteen 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0