Pre-tourney Rankings
Patriot League
2024-25


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
224 Bucknell 0.0%   18 - 15 13 - 5 18 - 15 13 - 5 -3.5      -2.3 233 -1.2 208 68.7 159 -4.3 236 -2.0 2
241 American 100.0%   16   20 - 12 13 - 5 20 - 12 13 - 5 -4.4      -3.3 258 -1.0 207 60.7 349 -1.9 189 -1.8 1
258 Colgate 0.0%   13 - 19 10 - 8 13 - 19 10 - 8 -5.3      -1.1 206 -4.1 298 67.3 202 -6.8 279 -5.9 6
274 Navy 0.0%   14 - 19 10 - 8 14 - 19 10 - 8 -6.3      -3.3 256 -3.1 267 67.3 203 -7.6 289 -5.8 5
279 Lehigh 0.0%   9 - 19 6 - 12 9 - 19 6 - 12 -6.9      -4.1 280 -2.8 261 67.7 189 -9.8 318 -11.0 9
286 Lafayette 0.0%   12 - 20 7 - 11 12 - 20 7 - 11 -7.4      -5.9 320 -1.4 216 65.8 241 -9.4 312 -9.6 7
300 Boston University 0.0%   15 - 16 10 - 8 15 - 16 10 - 8 -7.9      -5.2 308 -2.7 251 60.5 350 -6.6 277 -5.6 4
309 Loyola Maryland 0.0%   11 - 19 6 - 12 11 - 19 6 - 12 -8.9      -4.6 294 -4.3 305 66.3 223 -9.5 313 -10.8 8
321 Holy Cross 0.0%   11 - 19 5 - 13 11 - 19 5 - 13 -9.7      -3.7 273 -5.9 334 65.1 265 -8.2 301 -12.2 10
323 Army 0.0%   14 - 15 10 - 8 14 - 15 10 - 8 -9.9      -5.0 301 -4.8 314 68.5 164 -6.2 268 -5.4 3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Bucknell 1.0 100.0
American 1.0 100.0
Colgate 3.0 100.0
Navy 3.0 100.0
Lehigh 8.0 100.0
Lafayette 7.0 100.0
Boston University 3.0 100.0
Loyola Maryland 8.0 100.0
Holy Cross 10.0 100.0
Army 3.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Bucknell 13 - 5 100.0
American 13 - 5 100.0
Colgate 10 - 8 100.0
Navy 10 - 8 100.0
Lehigh 6 - 12 100.0
Lafayette 7 - 11 100.0
Boston University 10 - 8 100.0
Loyola Maryland 6 - 12 100.0
Holy Cross 5 - 13 100.0
Army 10 - 8 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Bucknell 100.0% 100.0
American 100.0% 100.0
Colgate
Navy
Lehigh
Lafayette
Boston University
Loyola Maryland
Holy Cross
Army


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
American 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.1 99.9
Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
American 100.0% 58.2% 70.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 70.4% 0.7 29.7 70.4
2nd Round 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0