Pre-tourney Rankings
Summit League
2024-25


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
131 St. Thomas 0.0%   21 - 10 12 - 4 21 - 10 12 - 4 +1.9      +4.3 72 -2.3 239 69.0 146 +2.4 132 +3.4 2
135 South Dakota St. 0.0%   17 - 12 11 - 5 17 - 12 11 - 5 +1.6      +2.0 116 -0.3 184 71.4 85 +1.2 143 +1.5 3
141 North Dakota St. 0.0%   18 - 11 10 - 6 18 - 11 10 - 6 +1.1      +5.4 60 -4.2 303 63.8 296 +1.0 150 -0.1 4
146 Nebraska Omaha 100.0%   15   20 - 12 13 - 3 20 - 12 13 - 3 +0.9      +3.4 89 -2.5 247 68.8 153 +1.4 139 +5.8 1
233 UMKC 0.0%   9 - 20 4 - 12 9 - 20 4 - 12 -3.9      -4.3 283 +0.4 163 62.5 327 -7.4 284 -9.6 8
235 South Dakota 0.0%   15 - 14 9 - 7 16 - 14 9 - 7 -4.0      +1.5 135 -5.6 326 83.4 3 -1.7 184 -1.0 5
263 North Dakota 0.0%   9 - 21 5 - 11 9 - 21 5 - 11 -5.6      +0.8 152 -6.4 337 71.5 84 -6.4 272 -7.4 7
298 Denver 0.0%   8 - 21 5 - 11 8 - 21 5 - 11 -7.9      -5.2 305 -2.7 254 66.5 221 -7.8 291 -7.0 6
319 Oral Roberts 0.0%   4 - 22 3 - 13 4 - 22 3 - 13 -9.6      -2.5 238 -7.0 350 68.3 175 -11.1 331 -10.8 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
St. Thomas 2.0 100.0
South Dakota St. 3.0 100.0
North Dakota St. 4.0 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 1.0 100.0
UMKC 8.0 100.0
South Dakota 5.0 100.0
North Dakota 6.0 100.0
Denver 6.0 100.0
Oral Roberts 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
St. Thomas 12 - 4 100.0
South Dakota St. 11 - 5 100.0
North Dakota St. 10 - 6 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 13 - 3 100.0
UMKC 4 - 12 100.0
South Dakota 9 - 7 100.0
North Dakota 5 - 11 100.0
Denver 5 - 11 100.0
Oral Roberts 3 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
St. Thomas
South Dakota St.
North Dakota St.
Nebraska Omaha 100.0% 100.0
UMKC
South Dakota
North Dakota
Denver
Oral Roberts


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
St. Thomas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.0 5.5 84.8 9.7
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
St. Thomas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 2.4% 0.0 97.6 2.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0