Pre-tourney Rankings
Grand Canyon
Western Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.1#88
Expected Predictive Rating+6.1#85
Pace76.7#17
Improvement+1.4#135

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#130
First Shot+0.3#163
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#100
Layup/Dunks+1.6#127
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#175
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#295
Freethrows+2.5#47
Improvement+1.2#128

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#66
First Shot+3.1#76
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#70
Layups/Dunks+1.2#128
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#309
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#120
Freethrows+2.0#57
Improvement+0.1#187
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round13.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 39 - 210 - 6
Quad 415 - 125 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 351   Cal St. Fullerton W 89-79 97%     1 - 0 -6.0 +6.0 -12.5
  Nov 09, 2024 160   Western Kentucky W 74-72 80%     2 - 0 -0.7 -4.2 +3.3
  Nov 14, 2024 75   Arizona St. L 76-87 44%     2 - 1 -3.5 +2.4 -5.2
  Nov 20, 2024 236   UC Davis L 68-75 89%     2 - 2 -14.0 -8.2 -5.4
  Nov 22, 2024 191   Norfolk St. W 91-73 84%     3 - 2 +13.5 +14.4 -1.1
  Nov 26, 2024 79   Stanford W 78-71 46%     4 - 2 +14.1 +3.7 +9.9
  Dec 03, 2024 219   Hawaii W 78-72 87%     5 - 2 +0.1 -3.4 +2.9
  Dec 14, 2024 33   Georgia L 68-73 23%     5 - 3 +8.9 +2.0 +7.1
  Dec 16, 2024 120   @ Louisiana Tech L 66-74 53%     5 - 4 -2.6 -1.4 -1.6
  Dec 19, 2024 362   Chicago St. W 74-51 98%     6 - 4 +3.3 -12.8 +14.3
  Dec 22, 2024 102   Saint Louis W 73-72 67%     7 - 4 +2.5 +1.7 +0.8
  Dec 28, 2024 311   San Diego W 68-55 91%     8 - 4 +3.9 -14.1 +17.0
  Dec 30, 2024 144   Bryant W 112-66 77%     9 - 4 +44.2 +12.7 +20.7
  Jan 04, 2025 303   Southern Utah W 82-71 94%     10 - 4 1 - 0 -0.1 +3.0 -3.5
  Jan 09, 2025 111   @ Utah Valley L 64-72 49%     10 - 5 1 - 1 -1.6 -3.8 +2.2
  Jan 16, 2025 215   Abilene Christian W 88-58 86%     11 - 5 2 - 1 +24.3 +14.1 +9.2
  Jan 18, 2025 273   Tarleton St. W 88-64 91%     12 - 5 3 - 1 +15.0 +17.8 -2.5
  Jan 23, 2025 303   @ Southern Utah W 74-59 86%     13 - 5 4 - 1 +9.4 +0.6 +8.8
  Jan 25, 2025 291   @ Utah Tech W 79-66 85%     14 - 5 5 - 1 +8.1 +5.6 +2.9
  Jan 30, 2025 149   Seattle W 83-74 78%     15 - 5 6 - 1 +6.9 +6.7 -0.4
  Feb 01, 2025 111   Utah Valley W 75-57 69%     16 - 5 7 - 1 +18.9 +2.9 +15.6
  Feb 08, 2025 164   @ California Baptist L 71-85 64%     16 - 6 7 - 2 -11.6 -6.2 -3.9
  Feb 13, 2025 273   @ Tarleton St. W 64-60 82%     17 - 6 8 - 2 +0.5 -2.1 +2.7
  Feb 15, 2025 223   @ Texas Arlington W 82-75 74%     18 - 6 9 - 2 +6.3 +4.8 +1.3
  Feb 22, 2025 164   California Baptist W 66-64 81%     19 - 6 10 - 2 -1.1 -7.9 +6.8
  Feb 27, 2025 223   Texas Arlington W 85-71 87%     20 - 6 11 - 2 +7.8 +3.9 +3.3
  Mar 01, 2025 149   @ Seattle W 63-60 60%     21 - 6 12 - 2 +6.4 -3.2 +9.7
  Mar 06, 2025 291   Utah Tech W 90-68 93%     22 - 6 13 - 2 +11.6 +10.8 +0.7
  Mar 08, 2025 215   @ Abilene Christian L 81-82 OT 73%     22 - 7 13 - 3 -1.2 -0.3 -0.8
  Mar 12, 2025 223   Texas Arlington W 98-75 82%     23 - 7 +19.5 +18.3 +0.4
  Mar 14, 2025 164   California Baptist W 75-66 73%     24 - 7 +8.7 +6.4 +2.7
  Mar 15, 2025 111   Utah Valley W 89-82 60%     25 - 7 +10.6 +20.2 -9.5
Projected Record 25 - 7 13 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0%
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.2 8.7 65.1 26.0 0.1
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.2 8.7 65.1 26.0 0.1