Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#295
Expected Predictive Rating-8.3#304
Pace75.0#33
Improvement-1.4#250

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#327
First Shot-5.6#319
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#240
Layup/Dunks-2.0#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#91
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#278
Freethrows-2.0#292
Improvement-2.3#290

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#213
First Shot-0.7#205
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#241
Layups/Dunks-2.3#273
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#63
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#154
Freethrows-0.8#245
Improvement+0.9#137
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 50 - 6
Quad 31 - 81 - 14
Quad 48 - 89 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 292   Bowling Green W 77-68 60%     1 - 0 -1.4 -3.5 +1.6
  Nov 07, 2024 100   @ UAB L 84-98 9%     1 - 1 -6.9 -0.6 -4.6
  Nov 20, 2024 135   @ South Dakota St. L 76-101 13%     1 - 2 -20.6 -9.0 -7.3
  Nov 24, 2024 186   @ Montana St. L 59-79 20%     1 - 3 -18.8 -15.1 -3.0
  Nov 25, 2024 215   Abilene Christian L 74-82 32%     1 - 4 -10.9 +8.2 -19.5
  Nov 30, 2024 142   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 66-65 28%     2 - 4 -0.7 -1.0 +0.4
  Dec 05, 2024 284   Alabama St. W 81-64 58%     3 - 4 +7.2 +0.2 +6.1
  Dec 10, 2024 133   @ Tulane L 58-86 13%     3 - 5 -23.4 -13.7 -9.6
  Dec 14, 2024 29   Mississippi L 46-77 3%     3 - 6 -16.3 -15.1 -4.2
  Dec 17, 2024 173   Lamar L 65-69 35%     3 - 7 -7.7 -4.8 -3.0
  Dec 21, 2024 171   Marshall W 68-66 34%     4 - 7 1 - 0 -1.3 +7.3 -8.2
  Jan 02, 2025 165   @ James Madison L 72-83 17%     4 - 8 1 - 1 -8.6 +0.6 -9.6
  Jan 04, 2025 278   @ Old Dominion L 71-74 35%     4 - 9 1 - 2 -6.9 -1.2 -5.8
  Jan 09, 2025 344   Louisiana Monroe W 84-67 76%     5 - 9 2 - 2 +1.8 -5.3 +5.2
  Jan 11, 2025 203   Texas St. W 92-88 OT 40%     6 - 9 3 - 2 -1.2 -2.1 +0.2
  Jan 15, 2025 132   @ South Alabama L 62-75 13%     6 - 10 3 - 3 -8.4 -8.1 -0.2
  Jan 18, 2025 203   @ Texas St. L 82-85 OT 22%     6 - 11 3 - 4 -2.7 -2.7 +0.3
  Jan 25, 2025 306   @ Louisiana W 67-59 43%     7 - 11 4 - 4 +2.2 -3.5 +6.0
  Jan 27, 2025 101   @ Troy L 61-70 9%     7 - 12 4 - 5 -1.9 -9.7 +8.2
  Jan 29, 2025 98   Arkansas St. L 68-81 18%     7 - 13 4 - 6 -10.8 -5.2 -5.3
  Feb 01, 2025 255   Georgia Southern W 72-68 50%     8 - 13 5 - 6 -3.7 -8.9 +5.0
  Feb 05, 2025 180   @ Appalachian St. L 58-60 19%     8 - 14 5 - 7 -0.4 -7.0 +6.5
  Feb 08, 2025 269   @ Ball St. L 76-77 34%     8 - 15 -4.4 +0.4 -4.8
  Feb 12, 2025 98   @ Arkansas St. L 67-101 8%     8 - 16 5 - 8 -26.3 -6.8 -16.9
  Feb 15, 2025 344   @ Louisiana Monroe L 74-81 58%     8 - 17 5 - 9 -16.7 -8.5 -7.6
  Feb 20, 2025 317   Coastal Carolina L 78-87 67%     8 - 18 5 - 10 -21.2 -9.9 -10.4
  Feb 22, 2025 306   Louisiana L 60-62 64%     8 - 19 5 - 11 -13.3 -12.0 -1.4
  Feb 26, 2025 132   South Alabama L 82-88 26%     8 - 20 5 - 12 -6.9 +8.4 -15.2
  Feb 28, 2025 101   Troy L 58-70 19%     8 - 21 5 - 13 -10.4 -13.5 +3.3
  Mar 04, 2025 317   Coastal Carolina W 66-63 57%     9 - 21 -6.5 -4.7 -1.4
  Mar 05, 2025 255   Georgia Southern L 64-78 39%     9 - 22 -19.0 -9.9 -9.4
Projected Record 9 - 22 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%