Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal Poly
Big West
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#177
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#179
Pace84.4#2
Improvement+4.7#23

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#127
First Shot+0.3#160
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#103
Layup/Dunks+0.2#170
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#345
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#40
Freethrows-1.6#280
Improvement+3.3#38

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#253
First Shot-1.9#237
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#259
Layups/Dunks-1.5#240
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#231
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#219
Freethrows+0.4#156
Improvement+1.4#110
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 21 - 51 - 10
Quad 33 - 84 - 18
Quad 411 - 115 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 64   @ San Francisco L 78-86 13%     0 - 1 +3.1 +0.9 +3.3
  Nov 07, 2024 108   @ California L 73-91 23%     0 - 2 -11.3 -3.3 -6.7
  Nov 14, 2024 149   Seattle W 75-71 54%     1 - 2 +1.9 +0.6 +1.1
  Nov 17, 2024 290   @ Eastern Washington W 82-78 64%     2 - 2 -0.8 -2.2 +0.9
  Nov 20, 2024 75   @ Arizona St. L 89-93 15%     2 - 3 +6.3 +11.4 -4.6
  Nov 23, 2024 28   @ St. Mary's L 66-80 5%     2 - 4 +3.5 +2.8 +1.0
  Nov 26, 2024 328   Grambling St. W 82-79 87%     3 - 4 -10.1 +5.3 -15.5
  Nov 30, 2024 79   @ Stanford W 97-90 16%     4 - 4 +16.8 +20.1 -3.9
  Dec 05, 2024 236   @ UC Davis L 66-77 52%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -12.5 -12.8 +1.8
  Dec 07, 2024 115   Cal St. Northridge L 91-102 44%     4 - 6 0 - 2 -10.6 +3.6 -12.5
  Dec 14, 2024 151   @ San Jose St. L 100-107 OT 34%     4 - 7 -3.7 +6.5 -8.7
  Dec 17, 2024 298   Denver W 95-94 OT 82%     5 - 7 -9.6 +2.8 -12.6
  Dec 21, 2024 146   @ Nebraska Omaha L 82-86 32%     5 - 8 -0.4 +4.5 -4.7
  Jan 02, 2025 72   UC Irvine L 89-98 OT 28%     5 - 9 0 - 3 -3.9 +1.7 -3.5
  Jan 04, 2025 219   @ Hawaii L 55-68 48%     5 - 10 0 - 4 -13.4 -12.1 -2.5
  Jan 09, 2025 42   @ UC San Diego L 68-95 8%     5 - 11 0 - 5 -12.1 +4.7 -17.2
  Jan 11, 2025 148   UC Santa Barbara L 72-75 54%     5 - 12 0 - 6 -5.1 +2.8 -8.1
  Jan 16, 2025 236   UC Davis L 54-65 72%     5 - 13 0 - 7 -18.0 -10.6 -9.0
  Jan 18, 2025 72   @ UC Irvine L 71-101 14%     5 - 14 0 - 8 -19.4 -1.6 -14.3
  Jan 25, 2025 289   Long Beach St. W 78-69 81%     6 - 14 1 - 8 -1.3 -2.6 +1.1
  Jan 30, 2025 242   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 90-81 52%     7 - 14 2 - 8 +7.3 +9.4 -2.6
  Feb 01, 2025 150   @ UC Riverside L 62-80 34%     7 - 15 2 - 9 -14.7 -8.3 -7.2
  Feb 06, 2025 219   Hawaii W 79-63 68%     8 - 15 3 - 9 +10.1 +7.7 +3.1
  Feb 13, 2025 351   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 98-83 81%     9 - 15 4 - 9 +4.5 +5.3 -3.4
  Feb 15, 2025 115   @ Cal St. Northridge L 85-89 25%     9 - 16 4 - 10 +1.9 -0.4 +3.0
  Feb 20, 2025 42   UC San Diego L 67-81 16%     9 - 17 4 - 11 -4.6 -0.2 -4.4
  Feb 22, 2025 150   UC Riverside W 112-100 OT 54%     10 - 17 5 - 11 +9.8 +12.5 -5.2
  Feb 27, 2025 148   @ UC Santa Barbara L 77-96 33%     10 - 18 5 - 12 -15.6 -2.9 -10.8
  Mar 01, 2025 242   Cal St. Bakersfield W 98-72 72%     11 - 18 6 - 12 +18.8 +9.5 +6.6
  Mar 06, 2025 351   Cal St. Fullerton W 100-61 91%     12 - 18 7 - 12 +23.0 +11.1 +7.6
  Mar 08, 2025 289   @ Long Beach St. W 83-69 64%     13 - 18 8 - 12 +9.2 +6.3 +2.7
  Mar 12, 2025 236   UC Davis W 86-76 62%     14 - 18 +5.7 +13.2 -7.7
  Mar 13, 2025 150   UC Riverside W 96-83 44%     15 - 18 +13.6 +15.4 -2.7
  Mar 14, 2025 72   UC Irvine L 78-96 20%     15 - 19 -10.1 +9.9 -19.5
Projected Record 15 - 19 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%