Pre-tourney Rankings
Liberty
Conference USA
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.3#67
Expected Predictive Rating+8.9#66
Pace64.2#287
Improvement+0.5#173

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#86
First Shot+5.9#47
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#314
Layup/Dunks+5.3#27
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#358
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.7#10
Freethrows-3.1#344
Improvement+3.3#39

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#61
First Shot+5.9#30
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#283
Layups/Dunks-1.4#237
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#348
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.7#1
Freethrows+3.0#23
Improvement-2.9#312
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round20.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen4.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 23 - 23 - 2
Quad 314 - 417 - 6
Quad 48 - 025 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 206   Valparaiso W 83-63 85%     1 - 0 +17.4 +11.2 +6.9
  Nov 09, 2024 149   @ Seattle W 66-64 68%     2 - 0 +5.4 +2.8 +2.7
  Nov 16, 2024 114   Florida Atlantic L 74-77 OT 68%     2 - 1 +0.3 -2.7 +3.2
  Nov 17, 2024 147   @ College of Charleston W 68-47 68%     3 - 1 +24.5 +2.4 +23.6
  Nov 22, 2024 306   Louisiana W 89-69 93%     4 - 1 +11.5 +20.8 -7.8
  Nov 24, 2024 59   Kansas St. W 67-65 45%     5 - 1 +11.7 +7.9 +3.9
  Nov 25, 2024 65   McNeese St. W 62-58 50%     6 - 1 +12.3 +2.5 +10.4
  Dec 07, 2024 364   Mississippi Valley W 89-52 99.8%    7 - 1 +5.7 +9.1 -0.7
  Dec 14, 2024 329   N.C. A&T W 83-74 97%     8 - 1 -4.4 +3.1 -7.7
  Dec 21, 2024 223   Texas Arlington W 79-56 91%     9 - 1 +16.8 +4.0 +13.5
  Jan 02, 2025 160   Western Kentucky L 70-71 85%     9 - 2 0 - 1 -3.7 -4.2 +0.5
  Jan 04, 2025 118   Middle Tennessee W 73-63 78%     10 - 2 1 - 1 +10.2 +3.2 +7.4
  Jan 09, 2025 178   @ Sam Houston St. W 76-68 74%     11 - 2 2 - 1 +9.7 +1.9 +7.9
  Jan 11, 2025 120   @ Louisiana Tech L 74-79 61%     11 - 3 2 - 2 +0.4 +3.6 -3.2
  Jan 16, 2025 158   UTEP L 70-72 84%     11 - 4 2 - 3 -4.5 -1.5 -3.0
  Jan 18, 2025 129   New Mexico St. W 68-60 80%     12 - 4 3 - 3 +7.2 +1.4 +6.2
  Jan 25, 2025 252   @ Florida International W 82-59 84%     13 - 4 4 - 3 +20.8 +16.9 +5.2
  Jan 30, 2025 134   @ Kennesaw St. W 76-68 64%     14 - 4 5 - 3 +12.5 +7.8 +4.9
  Feb 01, 2025 123   @ Jacksonville St. L 61-72 62%     14 - 5 5 - 4 -5.9 -3.6 -3.3
  Feb 06, 2025 120   Louisiana Tech W 77-53 79%     15 - 5 6 - 4 +23.9 +10.9 +15.0
  Feb 08, 2025 178   Sam Houston St. W 64-61 87%     16 - 5 7 - 4 -0.8 -8.0 +7.4
  Feb 13, 2025 129   @ New Mexico St. W 64-54 64%     17 - 5 8 - 4 +14.7 +2.1 +13.5
  Feb 15, 2025 158   @ UTEP W 76-69 70%     18 - 5 9 - 4 +10.0 +9.5 +0.8
  Feb 22, 2025 252   Florida International W 58-45 92%     19 - 5 10 - 4 +5.3 -8.3 +15.0
  Feb 27, 2025 123   Jacksonville St. W 59-55 80%     20 - 5 11 - 4 +3.6 -6.1 +10.3
  Mar 02, 2025 134   Kennesaw St. L 80-85 81%     20 - 6 11 - 5 -6.0 +4.4 -10.2
  Mar 06, 2025 118   @ Middle Tennessee W 86-81 60%     21 - 6 12 - 5 +10.7 +12.7 -2.2
  Mar 08, 2025 160   @ Western Kentucky W 90-61 70%     22 - 6 13 - 5 +31.8 +21.9 +10.2
  Mar 12, 2025 158   UTEP W 81-60 78%     23 - 6 +21.2 +21.0 +3.3
  Mar 14, 2025 134   Kennesaw St. W 81-79 73%     24 - 6 +3.8 +16.3 -12.4
  Mar 15, 2025 123   Jacksonville St. W 79-67 72%     25 - 6 +14.4 +17.4 -1.5
Projected Record 25 - 6 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.1 0.2 87.1 12.7 0.1
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.1 0.2 87.1 12.7 0.1