Pre-tourney Rankings
Mount St. Mary's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#248
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#181
Pace68.1#181
Improvement+2.8#83

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#293
First Shot-3.7#279
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#243
Layup/Dunks+0.6#152
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#240
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#316
Freethrows+1.1#110
Improvement+1.1#133

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#171
First Shot+1.9#117
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#319
Layups/Dunks+0.0#170
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#100
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#135
Freethrows-0.3#202
Improvement+1.6#97
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four60.6% n/a n/a
First Round68.1% n/a n/a
Second Round0.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 34 - 14 - 4
Quad 417 - 821 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 12   @ Maryland L 52-86 2%     0 - 1 -12.3 -8.9 -3.2
  Nov 13, 2024 224   @ Bucknell W 93-89 2OT 35%     1 - 1 +3.3 +3.6 -1.1
  Nov 16, 2024 315   St. Francis (PA) W 66-58 76%     2 - 1 -4.0 -10.3 +6.5
  Nov 20, 2024 84   @ Georgetown L 51-79 10%     2 - 2 -18.6 -15.6 -2.9
  Nov 23, 2024 313   Delaware St. W 76-66 76%     3 - 2 -1.9 +2.1 -3.2
  Nov 30, 2024 318   @ Howard W 79-75 58%     4 - 2 -2.7 -2.6 -0.3
  Dec 06, 2024 268   @ Marist L 50-53 45%     4 - 3 0 - 1 -6.4 -16.2 +9.6
  Dec 08, 2024 327   Fairfield W 101-94 79%     5 - 3 1 - 1 -6.1 +20.7 -26.9
  Dec 14, 2024 309   Loyola Maryland L 69-77 75%     5 - 4 -19.7 -11.3 -8.1
  Dec 18, 2024 301   @ LIU Brooklyn W 80-72 53%     6 - 4 +2.7 +7.4 -4.9
  Dec 21, 2024 174   @ Miami (FL) W 78-74 OT 27%     7 - 4 +5.8 -6.7 +12.1
  Dec 28, 2024 82   @ George Mason L 56-64 10%     7 - 5 +1.5 -6.1 +7.3
  Jan 05, 2025 312   Niagara W 68-62 76%     8 - 5 2 - 1 -5.9 -13.7 +7.6
  Jan 10, 2025 246   @ Manhattan W 75-66 39%     9 - 5 3 - 1 +7.2 +2.6 +5.1
  Jan 12, 2025 264   Sacred Heart W 73-71 64%     10 - 5 4 - 1 -6.3 -3.4 -2.9
  Jan 16, 2025 304   @ Rider L 60-66 54%     10 - 6 4 - 2 -11.6 -20.1 +8.8
  Jan 18, 2025 208   Quinnipiac L 57-91 53%     10 - 7 4 - 3 -39.4 -15.2 -25.1
  Jan 23, 2025 256   @ Siena L 68-82 41%     10 - 8 4 - 4 -16.3 +0.2 -17.7
  Jan 25, 2025 246   Manhattan L 64-74 60%     10 - 9 4 - 5 -17.3 -10.7 -7.4
  Jan 31, 2025 196   @ Merrimack W 66-58 30%     11 - 9 5 - 5 +8.8 +7.7 +2.3
  Feb 02, 2025 287   @ St. Peter's W 79-64 50%     12 - 9 6 - 5 +10.3 +18.5 -6.2
  Feb 06, 2025 253   Iona L 67-70 OT 62%     12 - 10 6 - 6 -10.7 -10.8 +0.3
  Feb 14, 2025 312   @ Niagara W 84-83 57%     13 - 10 7 - 6 -5.4 +6.9 -12.3
  Feb 16, 2025 356   @ Canisius W 73-66 76%     14 - 10 8 - 6 -5.0 -5.1 +0.4
  Feb 21, 2025 287   St. Peter's W 69-58 70%     15 - 10 9 - 6 +0.8 +5.9 -3.4
  Feb 23, 2025 304   Rider W 79-72 73%     16 - 10 10 - 6 -4.1 -3.4 -0.9
  Feb 28, 2025 327   @ Fairfield L 62-69 61%     16 - 11 10 - 7 -14.6 -8.2 -7.0
  Mar 02, 2025 256   Siena W 85-79 62%     17 - 11 11 - 7 -1.8 +7.7 -9.5
  Mar 06, 2025 208   @ Quinnipiac L 70-79 32%     17 - 12 11 - 8 -8.9 -5.1 -3.3
  Mar 08, 2025 268   Marist W 62-52 66%     18 - 12 12 - 8 +1.1 -2.8 +5.3
  Mar 13, 2025 268   Marist W 62-58 56%     19 - 12 -2.1 -5.7 +3.9
  Mar 14, 2025 196   Merrimack W 57-55 40%     20 - 12 +0.0 -2.1 +2.6
  Mar 15, 2025 253   Iona W 63-49 51%     21 - 12 +9.1 -3.7 +14.0
Projected Record 21 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0