Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Irvine
Big West
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.9#72
Expected Predictive Rating+10.1#58
Pace70.8#102
Improvement-3.7#317

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#150
First Shot+1.0#135
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#192
Layup/Dunks+3.5#63
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#179
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#317
Freethrows+2.3#59
Improvement+2.0#95

Defense
Total Defense+7.0#34
First Shot+5.1#47
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#46
Layups/Dunks+3.2#67
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#303
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#184
Freethrows+3.1#17
Improvement-5.7#356
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.7% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 01 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 1
Quad 23 - 24 - 3
Quad 312 - 316 - 6
Quad 411 - 027 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 157   @ Loyola Marymount W 66-51 68%     1 - 0 +18.0 -2.4 +20.7
  Nov 10, 2024 105   @ Northern Iowa W 80-60 54%     2 - 0 +26.8 +11.5 +15.5
  Nov 16, 2024 216   Pepperdine W 80-62 89%     3 - 0 +12.3 +3.0 +9.3
  Nov 22, 2024 285   @ Weber St. W 93-87 87%     4 - 0 +1.6 +10.9 -9.7
  Nov 28, 2024 134   Kennesaw St. W 76-59 72%     5 - 0 +18.8 -0.1 +17.8
  Nov 29, 2024 140   Kent St. W 51-39 74%     6 - 0 +13.2 -13.9 +28.5
  Nov 30, 2024 152   Towson W 67-60 76%     7 - 0 +7.5 -1.8 +9.6
  Dec 05, 2024 242   Cal St. Bakersfield W 82-66 91%     8 - 0 1 - 0 +8.8 +5.0 +4.0
  Dec 14, 2024 89   @ Oregon St. L 55-67 47%     8 - 1 -3.4 -18.1 +14.9
  Dec 19, 2024 128   @ Belmont W 92-84 62%     9 - 1 +12.7 +10.2 +1.7
  Dec 21, 2024 127   @ Duquesne L 54-70 61%     9 - 2 -11.1 -6.0 -7.8
  Dec 30, 2024 164   @ California Baptist W 71-63 70%     10 - 2 +10.4 +3.4 +7.4
  Jan 02, 2025 177   @ Cal Poly W 98-89 OT 72%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +10.7 +1.7 +7.0
  Jan 04, 2025 150   UC Riverside W 81-57 83%     12 - 2 3 - 0 +21.8 +7.5 +15.0
  Jan 09, 2025 115   @ Cal St. Northridge W 77-67 58%     13 - 2 4 - 0 +15.9 +1.2 +14.0
  Jan 11, 2025 42   @ UC San Diego W 60-52 25%     14 - 2 5 - 0 +22.9 +3.3 +20.7
  Jan 16, 2025 351   Cal St. Fullerton W 82-62 98%     15 - 2 6 - 0 +4.0 -1.4 +4.1
  Jan 18, 2025 177   Cal Poly W 101-71 86%     16 - 2 7 - 0 +26.2 +12.5 +10.3
  Jan 23, 2025 150   @ UC Riverside L 80-84 OT 67%     16 - 3 7 - 1 -0.7 -4.0 +3.9
  Jan 25, 2025 219   Hawaii W 71-55 90%     17 - 3 8 - 1 +10.1 -5.7 +15.3
  Jan 30, 2025 289   @ Long Beach St. W 80-75 OT 88%     18 - 3 9 - 1 +0.2 +3.6 -3.5
  Feb 01, 2025 236   UC Davis W 73-66 91%     19 - 3 10 - 1 +0.0 +1.1 -1.1
  Feb 08, 2025 42   UC San Diego L 67-85 44%     19 - 4 10 - 2 -8.6 +0.8 -9.6
  Feb 13, 2025 148   UC Santa Barbara W 62-60 83%     20 - 4 11 - 2 -0.1 -9.3 +9.4
  Feb 15, 2025 219   @ Hawaii W 66-49 79%     21 - 4 12 - 2 +16.6 -1.1 +18.9
  Feb 20, 2025 115   Cal St. Northridge L 72-84 76%     21 - 5 12 - 3 -11.6 +1.8 -13.8
  Feb 22, 2025 242   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 73-64 82%     22 - 5 13 - 3 +7.3 -1.7 +9.1
  Feb 27, 2025 351   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 76-51 95%     23 - 5 14 - 3 +14.5 +1.0 +13.6
  Mar 01, 2025 289   Long Beach St. W 70-60 94%     24 - 5 15 - 3 -0.3 +4.7 -3.1
  Mar 06, 2025 236   @ UC Davis W 88-59 81%     25 - 5 16 - 3 +27.5 +22.3 +6.4
  Mar 08, 2025 148   @ UC Santa Barbara W 97-88 67%     26 - 5 17 - 3 +12.4 +19.9 -7.9
  Mar 14, 2025 177   Cal Poly W 96-78 80%     27 - 5 +17.0 +17.7 -1.3
  Mar 15, 2025 42   UC San Diego L 61-75 34%     27 - 6 -1.8 -2.3 -0.1
Projected Record 27 - 6 17 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0%
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 2.0% 2.0% 11.7 0.5 1.5 0.0 98.0 2.0%
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 11.7 0.5 1.5 0.0 98.0 2.0%