American
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
306  Mark Allen SR 32:29
440  John Pope JR 32:47
530  Nick Reagan SO 32:59
610  Mark Leininger SR 33:08
842  Constantine Matsakis JR 33:31
1,371  Tom Woermer SO 34:18
1,988  Hunter Lussi FR 35:15
2,107  Brandon Latham FR 35:26
2,204  Ian Lutz SO 35:32
2,439  Bernard Skomal FR 36:01
2,625  David McCombs FR 36:30
National Rank #85 of 311
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #9 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.1%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 20.0%
Top 10 in Regional 94.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Mark Allen John Pope Nick Reagan Mark Leininger Constantine Matsakis Tom Woermer Hunter Lussi Brandon Latham Ian Lutz Bernard Skomal David McCombs
Mason Invitational 09/29 1071 32:16 33:09 33:06 34:10 35:15 35:27 35:21 36:18 36:31
Leopard Invitational 10/13 1110 33:04 33:08 33:21 33:19 33:52 33:53 34:54 35:42
Patriot League Championships 10/27 1036 32:22 33:41 32:58 33:07 33:32 35:03 36:57
Mid-Atlantic Region 11/09 854 32:07 32:15 32:24 33:02 33:13
NCAA Championship 11/17 32:36





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.1% 30.3 787 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 7.2 218 0.2 4.2 15.6 18.2 20.1 17.2 13.2 6.1 3.0 1.6 0.5 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mark Allen 11.8% 169.4
John Pope 1.0% 194.0
Nick Reagan 0.1% 219.5
Mark Leininger 0.1% 211.5
Constantine Matsakis 0.1% 240.5
Tom Woermer 0.1% 251.5
Hunter Lussi 0.1% 252.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mark Allen 20.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.9 2.3 2.6 3.6 3.6 4.1 4.3 4.2 4.6 4.4 4.1 4.0 3.7 3.4 3.3 3.0 3.0 2.6
John Pope 31.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.3 1.7 1.7 2.2 2.4 2.4 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.0 3.4
Nick Reagan 39.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.9 1.3
Mark Leininger 45.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5
Constantine Matsakis 65.0
Tom Woermer 103.6
Hunter Lussi 136.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.2% 37.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 3
4 4.2% 4.2 4
5 15.6% 15.6 5
6 18.2% 18.2 6
7 20.1% 20.1 7
8 17.2% 17.2 8
9 13.2% 13.2 9
10 6.1% 6.1 10
11 3.0% 3.0 11
12 1.6% 1.6 12
13 0.5% 0.5 13
14 0.0% 0.0 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0