Appalachian State
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
630  Sean Soderman SR 33:10
675  Mike Lilley SR 33:14
722  Alex Taylor SR 33:19
856  Josh Cox JR 33:32
971  James Howard -Smith SR 33:43
1,153  Kyle McFoy SO 34:00
1,178  Mitchell McLeod FR 34:02
1,212  Chris Garrett SO 34:04
1,216  Brian Graves SR 34:05
1,596  Ashton Smith SO 34:36
2,370  Joshua Ellis FR 35:51
2,908  Robert Kovach FR 37:39
National Rank #123 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #19 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 14th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.7%
Top 20 in Regional 99.4%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sean Soderman Mike Lilley Alex Taylor Josh Cox James Howard -Smith Kyle McFoy Mitchell McLeod Chris Garrett Brian Graves Ashton Smith Joshua Ellis
Charlotte Invitational (Green) 09/28 1343 33:59 34:38 34:52 36:18
Charlotte Invitational (Gold) 09/28 1132 33:05 33:13 34:18 33:34 34:00 33:49
Blue Ridge Open Meet 10/12 1147 33:58 33:14 33:25 33:51 34:19 33:42 33:53 33:47 34:21 35:26
Southern Conference Championships 10/27 1081 33:13 33:26 32:33 33:28 33:46 34:05 34:18 34:21 33:44
Southeast Region Championships 11/09 1078 32:31 33:03 33:55 33:44 33:30 34:18 34:22





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 14.8 456 0.1 0.6 2.4 7.5 16.8 20.7 18.7 14.0 9.2 5.2 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sean Soderman 77.5
Mike Lilley 80.3
Alex Taylor 85.5
Josh Cox 98.8
James Howard -Smith 109.0
Kyle McFoy 125.8
Mitchell McLeod 127.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 0.6% 0.6 10
11 2.4% 2.4 11
12 7.5% 7.5 12
13 16.8% 16.8 13
14 20.7% 20.7 14
15 18.7% 18.7 15
16 14.0% 14.0 16
17 9.2% 9.2 17
18 5.2% 5.2 18
19 2.9% 2.9 19
20 1.3% 1.3 20
21 0.5% 0.5 21
22 0.1% 0.1 22
23 0.0% 0.0 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0