Chattanooga
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
336  Nathan Wanuch JR 32:33
625  Lucas Cotter 33:10
1,090  Paul Stuart FR 33:55
1,188  Trevor Janssen FR 34:02
1,536  John Gilpin SO 34:32
1,715  Drew Austell SO 34:48
National Rank #115 of 311
South Region Rank #6 of 42
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 5.4%
Top 10 in Regional 88.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Nathan Wanuch Lucas Cotter Paul Stuart Trevor Janssen John Gilpin Drew Austell
Greater Louisville Classic (Blue) 09/29 1206 32:36 34:10 35:08 35:32 35:24
Southern Conference Championships 10/27 1089 32:25 33:15 34:00 33:42 34:04 34:13
South Region Championships 11/09 1091 32:38 33:02 33:26 33:44 34:21 34:48





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 8.5 293 1.6 3.8 6.5 13.8 20.3 29.4 13.4 6.5 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nathan Wanuch 34.1% 187.3
Lucas Cotter 0.2% 227.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nathan Wanuch 15.8 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.4 2.7 3.5 4.4 6.0 5.5 6.6 6.3 6.7 6.4 4.8 5.3 4.5 4.7 3.7 3.4 2.8 2.5 2.0
Lucas Cotter 31.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.6 2.6 2.6 3.9 3.5 4.3
Paul Stuart 62.7
Trevor Janssen 70.0
John Gilpin 100.3
Drew Austell 117.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 1.6% 1.6 4
5 3.8% 3.8 5
6 6.5% 6.5 6
7 13.8% 13.8 7
8 20.3% 20.3 8
9 29.4% 29.4 9
10 13.4% 13.4 10
11 6.5% 6.5 11
12 2.5% 2.5 12
13 1.5% 1.5 13
14 0.6% 0.6 14
15 0.2% 0.2 15
16 0.1% 0.1 16
17 0.0% 0.0 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0