Illinois
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
70  Hunter Mickow SR 31:42
97  Jannis Topfer JR 31:52
296  Ian Barnett FR 32:27
297  Tommy King FR 32:27
352  Jordan Hebert SR 32:35
892  Sam Telfer FR 33:36
1,033  Paul Zeman FR 33:49
1,086  Mark Donohue SO 33:54
1,112  Jereme Atchison FR 33:56
1,260  David Eckhart FR 34:09
2,495  Joe McAsey FR 36:09
National Rank #34 of 311
Midwest Region Rank #5 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 19.7%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 4.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 31.7%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Hunter Mickow Jannis Topfer Ian Barnett Tommy King Jordan Hebert Sam Telfer Paul Zeman Mark Donohue Jereme Atchison David Eckhart Joe McAsey
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 09/28 822 32:01 32:05 32:48 32:24 35:37 33:44 33:37
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 666 31:43 32:00 32:17 32:23 32:32 33:30 36:09
Bradley Classic 10/12 33:29 33:54 33:29 34:09
Big Ten Championships 10/28 658 31:56 31:55 32:13 32:29 32:16 33:52 34:49 33:56 33:47
Midwest Region Championships 11/09 598 31:25 31:37 32:40 32:39 32:02 33:21 35:09
NCAA Championship 11/17 31:23 31:39





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 19.7% 24.6 566 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.8 1.5 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.6
Region Championship 100% 6.3 181 0.0 1.4 13.2 17.1 20.1 22.9 23.8 1.4 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hunter Mickow 72.7% 70.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
Jannis Topfer 54.5% 87.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
Ian Barnett 19.9% 172.8
Tommy King 19.9% 169.8
Jordan Hebert 19.7% 187.2
Sam Telfer 19.8% 247.8
Paul Zeman 19.9% 250.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hunter Mickow 13.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.6 3.0 4.1 4.9 5.6 6.1 5.8 6.1 5.5 4.9 4.8 4.7 3.9 3.7 2.8 2.6 2.2 2.1 2.0 1.7 1.8 1.4
Jannis Topfer 18.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.8 1.9 3.5 3.9 4.1 4.4 5.4 4.9 5.0 4.4 4.5 3.9 4.3 3.0 3.2 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.3
Ian Barnett 42.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.6
Tommy King 43.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.2
Jordan Hebert 49.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2
Sam Telfer 90.7
Paul Zeman 100.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 2
3 1.4% 94.1% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.3 3
4 13.2% 65.3% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.7 1.6 1.6 2.1 0.6 4.6 8.6 4
5 17.1% 35.7% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.9 1.0 11.0 6.1 5
6 20.1% 11.3% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.0 17.8 2.3 6
7 22.9% 5.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 21.7 1.1 7
8 23.8% 1.2% 0.1 0.2 23.5 0.3 8
9 1.4% 1.4 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 19.7% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.9 2.4 2.7 3.5 5.2 3.6 80.3 0.0 19.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Notre Dame 88.9% 1.0 0.9
Virginia 82.0% 1.0 0.8
North Carolina St. 20.7% 1.0 0.2
Minnesota 10.7% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 5.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 4.6% 1.0 0.0
Penn State 0.8% 2.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.5% 2.0 0.0
Providence 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 0.3% 1.0 0.0
North Carolina 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Navy 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 2.2
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 6.0