Indiana
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
13  Zachary Mayhew SR 31:01
35  Andrew Bayer SR 31:22
237  Robby Nierman JR 32:18
288  JR Ricker SO 32:26
360  Matthew Schwartzer FR 32:36
368  Adam Behnke SR 32:37
381  Evan Esselink SO 32:39
527  Nate Morrow SR 32:59
652  Owen Skeete FR 33:12
674  Nolan Fife SO 33:14
717  Kyle Overway FR 33:18
728  Joseph Holahan JR 33:20
940  Blake Dircksen JR 33:41
1,064  Joshua Roche FR 33:52
1,076  Rorey Hunter FR 33:54
1,880  Lance Roller SR 35:05
National Rank #20 of 311
Great Lakes Region Rank #3 of 30
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.3%
Most Likely Finish 19th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.2%
Top 10 at Nationals 6.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 56.8%


Regional Champion 3.0%
Top 5 in Regional 99.7%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Zachary Mayhew Andrew Bayer Robby Nierman JR Ricker Matthew Schwartzer Adam Behnke Evan Esselink Nate Morrow Owen Skeete Nolan Fife Kyle Overway
Rim Rock Farm Collegiate Classic 09/29 590 31:04 31:23 32:29 32:54 32:34 32:33 33:17 33:12 32:50
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 560 31:07 31:30 32:19 32:35 32:18 32:46
Pre-Nationals Meet (Black) 10/13 1030 32:45 32:59 33:07 32:53 33:49
Big Ten Championships 10/28 545 31:05 31:17 32:17 32:57 32:26 32:28 32:51 33:47 33:44
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/09 586 31:13 31:16 32:27 32:32 32:44 32:53 32:29
NCAA Championship 11/17 587 30:42 31:57 32:05 32:54 33:16 32:18 32:52





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.3% 19.3 471 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.6 2.2 2.5 3.2 3.3 4.6 5.3 5.4 6.2 6.2 7.2 6.5 6.4 6.8 5.8 5.3 4.7 4.0 3.5 2.4 2.0 1.1 0.6
Region Championship 100% 2.9 96 3.0 27.7 50.8 16.2 2.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zachary Mayhew 100.0% 15.2 0.1 0.2 1.4 2.9 4.3 4.7 5.2 4.8 5.3 4.5 4.8 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.0 2.5 2.7 2.4 2.0 1.8 2.2 1.8 1.6 1.5
Andrew Bayer 99.9% 36.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.3 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.3 2.2 2.0 2.1 2.5 2.2 2.1
Robby Nierman 99.3% 161.5
JR Ricker 99.3% 179.4
Matthew Schwartzer 99.3% 200.6
Adam Behnke 99.3% 203.8
Evan Esselink 99.3% 207.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zachary Mayhew 2.5 22.6 18.2 18.6 15.2 9.7 5.8 3.5 2.3 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Andrew Bayer 5.2 0.9 4.6 8.2 15.2 18.1 16.3 11.0 6.7 4.9 3.1 2.4 1.8 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
Robby Nierman 23.7 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.5 3.0 3.3 3.4 3.9 3.6 3.5 4.2 4.1 3.6 3.5 3.7 2.8 3.1 2.5
JR Ricker 29.7 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.4 2.1 2.5 3.1 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.1 2.9 3.0 2.9
Matthew Schwartzer 37.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.7 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.5
Adam Behnke 38.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.8 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.3
Evan Esselink 40.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.6 1.8 1.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 3.0% 100.0% 3.0 3.0 1
2 27.7% 100.0% 27.7 27.7 2
3 50.8% 99.9% 0.3 0.9 2.4 3.5 5.8 8.6 10.6 8.3 6.2 2.9 1.0 0.1 0.1 50.7 3
4 16.2% 99.0% 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.3 3.7 2.8 2.4 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.2 16.0 4
5 2.1% 90.7% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.9 5
6 0.2% 9.1% 0.0 0.2 0.0 6
7 0.0% 0.0 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
Total 100% 99.3% 3.0 27.7 0.4 1.1 2.8 4.5 7.5 11.2 14.5 11.5 9.0 4.0 1.8 0.5 0.7 30.7 68.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Wisconsin 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Georgia 99.2% 1.0 1.0
Notre Dame 88.9% 1.0 0.9
Virginia 82.0% 1.0 0.8
Iowa State 53.5% 1.0 0.5
Texas A&M 52.7% 1.0 0.5
Kansas 41.8% 1.0 0.4
Arizona State 38.4% 1.0 0.4
North Carolina St. 20.7% 1.0 0.2
Minnesota 10.7% 2.0 0.2
Washington 7.0% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 5.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 4.6% 1.0 0.0
Illinois 2.5% 2.0 0.1
Penn State 0.8% 2.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.5% 2.0 0.0
Providence 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 0.3% 1.0 0.0
North Carolina 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Cornell 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 6.2
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 14.0