Louisville
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
72  Ernest Kibet FR 31:45
238  Japhet Kipkoech FR 32:18
383  Gordon Dooley SR 32:39
424  Edwin Kibichiy FR 32:44
547  Mattias Wolter JR 33:01
1,171  Evan Hibbs SR 34:01
1,254  Ryan Eaton JR 34:08
National Rank #49 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #8 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.7%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 14.2%
Top 10 in Regional 97.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ernest Kibet Japhet Kipkoech Gordon Dooley Edwin Kibichiy Mattias Wolter Evan Hibbs Ryan Eaton
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 09/29 733 31:43 31:42 32:32 33:16 32:39 33:42 33:26
Pre-Nationals Meet (Red) 10/13 742 31:39 32:16 32:23 32:23 32:59 34:11 33:28
Big East Championships 10/26 809 31:40 32:38 32:36 32:18 33:17 33:42 35:21
Southeast Region Championships 11/09 981 32:10 32:38 33:48 33:13 33:13 34:54 34:50





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.7% 26.6 615 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
Region Championship 100% 7.4 223 0.3 1.1 3.8 9.0 15.4 21.8 24.8 13.8 7.1 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ernest Kibet 41.1% 125.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Japhet Kipkoech 0.8% 114.5
Gordon Dooley 0.7% 159.0
Edwin Kibichiy 0.7% 186.0
Mattias Wolter 0.7% 209.0
Evan Hibbs 0.8% 251.5
Ryan Eaton 0.7% 250.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ernest Kibet 12.1 0.1 0.6 0.9 2.2 4.1 5.2 6.8 7.6 7.3 7.6 7.2 5.4 5.2 4.5 4.3 3.5 3.3 2.3 2.7 2.3 1.9 1.5 1.6 1.1
Japhet Kipkoech 28.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.2 2.2 2.8 3.3 3.7 3.3 3.9 3.5 3.7 3.8 3.8
Gordon Dooley 45.7 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.0
Edwin Kibichiy 50.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5
Mattias Wolter 66.4 0.0 0.0
Evan Hibbs 127.0
Ryan Eaton 134.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.3% 100.0% 0.3 0.3 2
3 1.1% 30.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 3
4 3.8% 2.6% 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.7 0.1 4
5 9.0% 9.0 5
6 15.4% 0.1% 0.0 15.4 0.0 6
7 21.8% 21.8 7
8 24.8% 24.8 8
9 13.8% 13.8 9
10 7.1% 7.1 10
11 2.3% 2.3 11
12 0.6% 0.6 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 0.0% 0.0 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.7% 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.3 0.3 0.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
William and Mary 0.9% 1.0 0.0
Penn State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.5% 1.0 0.0
McNeese State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Boise State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Lehigh 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0