Stanford
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
52  Joe Rosa SO 31:30
61  Benjamin Johnson SR 31:37
87  Miles Unterreiner SR 31:49
113  Tyler Stutzman JR 31:55
129  Jim Rosa SO 31:58
177  Erik Olson SO 32:10
243  Thomas Graham FR 32:19
334  Michael Atchoo JR 32:33
433  Andrew Berberick SR 32:46
497  Billy Orman SO 32:54
542  Riley Sullivan SR 33:00
800  Kenny Krotzer JR 33:28
992  Tyler Valdes SR 33:45
1,341  Timothy Luthin FR 34:15
2,433  Ryan Valdes SR 36:00
National Rank #10 of 311
West Region Rank #1 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.5%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Nationals


National Champion 0.5%
Top 5 at Nationals 19.4%
Top 10 at Nationals 56.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 92.7%


Regional Champion 68.1%
Top 5 in Regional 99.3%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Joe Rosa Benjamin Johnson Miles Unterreiner Tyler Stutzman Jim Rosa Erik Olson Thomas Graham Michael Atchoo Andrew Berberick Billy Orman Riley Sullivan
Stanford Invitational 09/29 469 31:33 31:45 31:37 32:29 31:55 32:39 32:22
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 301 31:25 31:46 31:28 31:38 31:24 32:32 32:04
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/13 33:14 33:28
Pac-12 Championships 10/27 408 31:12 31:22 31:58 31:49 32:44 32:09 33:19 33:19
Doc Adams Invitational 11/03 947 32:42 32:33 32:38 32:37
West Region Championships 11/09 429 31:35 31:52 31:56 31:47 31:43 31:53 32:17
NCAA Championship 11/17 550 32:04 31:27 32:16 32:15 32:30 31:49





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.5% 10.6 334 0.5 2.4 4.0 5.3 7.2 7.7 7.8 7.1 7.4 6.7 5.9 5.6 5.1 3.8 3.7 3.3 2.8 2.3 2.3 1.9 1.9 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 1.5 72 68.1 18.0 8.1 3.7 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joe Rosa 99.8% 49.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.2
Benjamin Johnson 99.7% 60.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.6
Miles Unterreiner 99.5% 85.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1
Tyler Stutzman 99.5% 102.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jim Rosa 99.5% 109.8
Erik Olson 99.5% 140.3
Thomas Graham 99.5% 166.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joe Rosa 6.0 0.1 8.8 13.9 14.6 12.5 8.7 5.8 4.7 4.1 3.5 2.8 2.5 1.9 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5
Benjamin Johnson 7.9 0.0 2.6 7.7 11.4 11.3 9.4 8.3 5.4 5.4 4.3 3.7 2.8 2.7 2.4 2.0 2.0 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0
Miles Unterreiner 12.2 0.3 1.4 3.6 5.4 6.7 7.4 7.0 6.4 6.3 4.6 4.7 3.5 3.1 2.8 3.2 2.5 2.1 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.4
Tyler Stutzman 16.1 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.8 3.8 4.9 6.0 5.2 5.4 5.3 4.9 3.9 4.2 3.2 3.5 3.0 2.9 2.7 2.5 2.2 2.0 2.2 1.5
Jim Rosa 18.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.3 3.4 4.5 4.9 5.1 5.0 4.3 4.9 3.4 3.1 3.5 3.7 3.0 2.6 2.3 2.4 2.2 1.8 1.8
Erik Olson 26.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 1.7 2.2 3.0 2.9 3.4 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.3 2.8 2.9 2.4 2.6
Thomas Graham 35.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.3 2.0 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.6 2.1 2.3 2.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 68.1% 100.0% 68.1 68.1 1
2 18.0% 100.0% 18.0 18.0 2
3 8.1% 100.0% 5.1 2.5 0.4 8.1 3
4 3.7% 100.0% 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 3.7 4
5 1.5% 89.0% 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.3 5
6 0.6% 57.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 6
7 0.1% 16.7% 0.0 0.1 0.0 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 99.5% 68.1 18.0 5.1 2.8 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 86.1 13.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Wisconsin 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Princeton 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Arkansas 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Northern Arizona 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Michigan 99.8% 1.0 1.0
Oklahoma 99.8% 1.0 1.0
Syracuse 99.7% 1.0 1.0
Georgia 99.2% 1.0 1.0
Eastern Kentucky 98.9% 1.0 1.0
Indiana 98.6% 1.0 1.0
New Mexico 98.4% 1.0 1.0
Columbia 98.4% 1.0 1.0
Iona 98.1% 1.0 1.0
Portland 92.2% 1.0 0.9
Notre Dame 88.9% 1.0 0.9
UCLA 84.5% 2.0 1.7
Oregon 83.3% 1.0 0.8
Virginia 82.0% 1.0 0.8
Iowa State 53.5% 1.0 0.5
Texas A&M 52.7% 1.0 0.5
Kansas 41.8% 1.0 0.4
Arizona State 38.4% 2.0 0.8
North Carolina St. 20.7% 1.0 0.2
Minnesota 10.7% 1.0 0.1
Washington 7.0% 2.0 0.1
Dartmouth 5.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 4.6% 1.0 0.0
Illinois 2.5% 1.0 0.0
Penn State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Washington St. 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Providence 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 0.3% 1.0 0.0
North Carolina 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 21.9
Minimum 16.0
Maximum 27.0