Syracuse
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
82  Joe Whelan JR 31:48
92  Martin Hehir FR 31:51
96  Griff Graves SR 31:52
161  Max Straneva SO 32:06
195  Reed Kamyszek SO 32:13
266  Robert Molke JR 32:22
267  Ryan Urie SO 32:22
315  Andrew Palmer SO 32:30
526  Dan Lennon FR 32:59
733  Jon Aziz SR 33:20
864  Juris Silenieks FR 33:33
1,203  David Wilson SO 34:04
1,249  Zach Rivers SR 34:07
National Rank #16 of 311
Northeast Region Rank #2 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.7%
Most Likely Finish 16th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 2.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 17.9%
Top 20 at Nationals 66.8%


Regional Champion 47.0%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Joe Whelan Martin Hehir Griff Graves Max Straneva Reed Kamyszek Robert Molke Ryan Urie Andrew Palmer Dan Lennon Jon Aziz Juris Silenieks
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 573 32:01 31:57 31:55 32:20 32:25 32:35 31:49
Princeton Invitational 10/13 33:20 33:34
Big East Championships 10/26 459 31:38 31:34 32:01 32:08 31:55 32:03 31:53 32:56 33:00
Norhteast Region Championships 11/09 605 31:58 31:54 31:50 32:35 32:22 32:19 32:20
NCAA Championship 11/17 554 31:35 32:08 31:42 31:51 32:46 32:42 33:06





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.7% 17.2 440 0.0 0.6 0.9 1.4 2.0 2.5 2.7 3.3 4.5 5.0 4.5 4.8 5.1 5.0 5.4 4.6 5.3 4.7 4.6 4.5 5.1 3.7 3.2 3.3 3.6 2.4 2.4 2.1 1.7 0.8
Region Championship 100% 1.8 60 47.0 31.2 18.3 3.1 0.5 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joe Whelan 99.7% 84.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2
Martin Hehir 99.7% 90.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Griff Graves 99.7% 93.9 0.0 0.0 0.1
Max Straneva 99.7% 131.4
Reed Kamyszek 99.7% 150.5
Robert Molke 99.7% 171.3
Ryan Urie 99.7% 173.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joe Whelan 6.5 3.7 10.0 9.7 8.9 8.0 6.6 5.6 5.3 4.7 4.3 3.7 3.2 2.7 2.7 2.1 2.1 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.4 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.8
Martin Hehir 7.3 2.3 7.5 9.6 8.3 7.8 6.6 6.3 5.8 5.2 4.2 3.6 3.6 3.0 2.6 2.2 2.2 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.8
Griff Graves 7.9 2.2 5.9 8.3 7.0 7.7 7.2 6.2 6.0 5.3 4.3 4.0 3.2 3.4 3.2 2.7 2.2 2.2 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.2 1.3 0.9 1.2 1.0
Max Straneva 14.4 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.9 2.8 3.5 4.3 4.9 5.5 5.6 4.6 4.8 4.8 4.5 3.9 3.7 3.4 2.8 3.3 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.3 1.9 2.1
Reed Kamyszek 18.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.7 2.0 2.3 3.1 4.0 3.9 5.0 4.3 5.1 4.1 4.4 3.6 4.0 3.6 3.5 3.2 2.9 2.5 2.8 2.5
Robert Molke 23.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.3 1.3 2.2 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.6 3.7 3.9 3.8 4.2 4.0 3.5 3.8 3.4 3.2 2.8
Ryan Urie 23.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.4 2.0 2.6 3.0 3.2 4.0 3.8 3.7 4.3 4.2 3.3 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.4 3.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 47.0% 100.0% 47.0 47.0 1
2 31.2% 100.0% 31.2 31.2 2
3 18.3% 100.0% 6.7 6.2 3.1 1.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 18.3 3
4 3.1% 100.0% 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.1 4
5 0.5% 30.4% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 5
6 0.0% 0.0 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 99.7% 47.0 31.2 6.7 7.1 4.3 2.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 78.1 21.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Wisconsin 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Princeton 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Northern Arizona 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Georgia 99.2% 1.0 1.0
Indiana 98.6% 1.0 1.0
Portland 92.2% 1.0 0.9
Notre Dame 88.9% 2.0 1.8
Virginia 82.0% 1.0 0.8
Georgetown 80.3% 1.0 0.8
Iowa State 53.5% 1.0 0.5
Texas A&M 52.7% 1.0 0.5
Kansas 41.8% 1.0 0.4
Arizona State 38.4% 1.0 0.4
Villanova 34.8% 1.0 0.3
North Carolina St. 20.7% 1.0 0.2
Minnesota 10.7% 1.0 0.1
Washington 7.0% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 5.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 4.6% 1.0 0.0
Illinois 2.5% 1.0 0.0
Penn State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Providence 0.4% 2.0 0.0
Harvard 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Louisville 0.3% 1.0 0.0
North Carolina 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 12.1
Minimum 7.0
Maximum 17.0