Tulsa
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
21  Chris O'Hare JR 31:09
64  Andy Heyes SR 31:38
76  Paulo Pinheiro SR 31:47
159  Danny Thater SO 32:06
164  Dennis Hodapp SO 32:07
190  Marc Scott FR 32:12
300  Tim Rackers SO 32:28
1,010  Emmett Cookson JR 33:47
1,267  Kevin Mayer JR 34:09
1,331  Brian Tabb SO 34:14
1,538  James Keilbarth JR 34:32
1,756  Adam Johnson SO 34:53
National Rank #12 of 311
Midwest Region Rank #3 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 98.8%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Nationals


National Champion 0.2%
Top 5 at Nationals 15.4%
Top 10 at Nationals 52.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 91.7%


Regional Champion 0.7%
Top 5 in Regional 98.9%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Chris O'Hare Andy Heyes Paulo Pinheiro Danny Thater Dennis Hodapp Marc Scott Tim Rackers Emmett Cookson Kevin Mayer Brian Tabb James Keilbarth
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 09/28 448 31:07 31:50 31:37 32:35 31:45 33:19 33:26
Pre-Nationals Meet (Black) 10/13 34:30 34:38 34:32
Pre-Nationals Meet (Red) 10/13 642 31:35 31:57 32:16 32:23 32:29 33:00 34:27
Conference USA Championships 10/29 669 31:50 31:59 32:05 32:27 32:34 32:35 33:41 33:43 34:04
Midwest Region Championships 11/09 299 31:22 31:26 31:27 31:39 31:41 31:57 32:06
NCAA Championship 11/17 349 30:56 31:22 31:48 31:53 32:16 31:51 32:14





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 98.8% 11.0 342 0.2 1.5 3.2 4.9 5.6 7.1 7.7 7.4 7.4 7.5 6.8 5.3 4.9 5.0 4.5 3.3 2.8 2.6 2.1 1.9 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
Region Championship 100% 3.0 88 0.7 18.4 67.7 9.5 2.6 0.8 0.3 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chris O'Hare 99.8% 22.5 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.1 2.1 2.5 2.6 2.7 3.9 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.5 2.6 3.1 2.9 2.4 2.8 2.9 2.4 2.3 2.0 2.1
Andy Heyes 99.1% 62.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.6
Paulo Pinheiro 99.0% 79.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Danny Thater 98.8% 131.6
Dennis Hodapp 98.8% 131.7
Marc Scott 98.8% 146.1
Tim Rackers 98.8% 186.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chris O'Hare 3.6 8.0 15.3 18.0 14.0 10.0 6.4 5.2 4.2 3.6 2.6 2.3 1.9 1.4 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2
Andy Heyes 11.4 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.8 5.2 6.1 6.9 7.0 6.6 6.0 5.3 5.5 4.5 4.7 3.9 3.6 3.3 2.7 2.0 2.2 1.6 1.9 1.5 0.9 1.3
Paulo Pinheiro 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.2 3.9 4.2 5.2 6.0 6.2 5.7 5.4 4.7 4.6 4.3 3.9 3.7 3.5 2.2 2.7 1.7 2.1 2.2 1.9
Danny Thater 26.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.7 2.0 2.0 2.3 3.4 3.2 3.6 4.4 3.9 4.1 3.7 3.1 3.0 3.4
Dennis Hodapp 27.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.4 2.0 2.4 2.6 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.5 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.1
Marc Scott 30.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.5 1.2 2.0 2.3 2.4 2.9 3.1 3.0 3.4 3.2 2.8 3.2
Tim Rackers 43.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.6 1.0 1.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.7% 100.0% 0.7 0.7 1
2 18.4% 100.0% 18.4 18.4 2
3 67.7% 100.0% 1.1 9.4 15.4 12.4 10.5 7.3 6.0 3.6 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 67.7 3
4 9.5% 99.2% 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.1 9.4 4
5 2.6% 78.1% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.6 2.0 5
6 0.8% 54.8% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 6
7 0.3% 28.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 7
8 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 98.8% 0.7 18.4 1.1 9.4 15.7 13.0 11.1 8.3 7.5 5.0 2.8 1.9 1.4 1.1 1.3 1.2 19.1 79.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Florida State 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Princeton 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Eastern Kentucky 98.9% 1.0 1.0
New Mexico 98.4% 1.0 1.0
Notre Dame 88.9% 1.0 0.9
Georgetown 80.3% 1.0 0.8
Texas A&M 52.7% 1.0 0.5
Villanova 34.8% 1.0 0.3
North Carolina St. 20.7% 1.0 0.2
Florida 12.5% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 2.5% 1.0 0.0
William and Mary 0.9% 1.0 0.0
Washington St. 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Louisville 0.3% 1.0 0.0
North Carolina 0.2% 1.0 0.0
McNeese State 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Boise State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Lehigh 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Navy 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 6.9
Minimum 4.0
Maximum 10.0