Villanova
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
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RankNameGradeRating
144  Sam McEntee SO 32:03
146  Mathew Mildenhall SR 32:03
150  Jordy Williams 32:04
223  Jordan Williamsz FR 32:17
242  Robert Denault FR 32:19
379  Matthew Kane SR 32:39
442  Alex Tully JR 32:47
507  Greg Morrin JR 32:56
558  Brian Basili SO 33:02
730  John Pickhaver JR 33:20
955  Thomas Trainer FR 33:42
National Rank #32 of 311
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #3 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 38.0%
Most Likely Finish 3rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.3%
Top 20 at Nationals 6.3%


Regional Champion 8.3%
Top 5 in Regional 99.9%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sam McEntee Mathew Mildenhall Jordy Williams Jordan Williamsz Robert Denault Matthew Kane Alex Tully Greg Morrin Brian Basili John Pickhaver Thomas Trainer
Lehigh Paul Short Run (Gold) 09/28 655 31:51 32:03 32:04 32:23 32:40 33:01 32:22 32:53 33:03 33:42
Pre-Nationals Meet (Black) 10/13 33:04 33:19
Pre-Nationals Meet (Red) 10/13 685 31:51 32:06 32:05 32:15 32:58 32:53
Big East Championships 10/26 764 32:09 32:12 32:29 32:19 33:19 32:37 33:36 33:04 33:46
Mid-Atlantic Region 11/09 674 32:00 32:19 32:01 32:20 33:11 32:15 32:58
NCAA Championship 11/17 751 32:20 32:02 32:26 32:30 32:18 32:54 33:53





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 38.0% 25.4 590 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.5 1.9 1.6 2.1 2.2 3.0 3.4 3.2 3.6 4.2 4.9
Region Championship 100% 2.7 80 8.3 22.9 61.4 6.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam McEntee 67.5% 117.5
Mathew Mildenhall 67.4% 118.0
Jordan Williamsz 49.3% 148.7
Robert Denault 46.3% 154.5
Matthew Kane 38.2% 197.0
Alex Tully 38.0% 214.1
Greg Morrin 38.0% 225.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam McEntee 8.8 0.8 3.0 5.2 6.9 7.4 7.9 7.2 6.4 6.3 5.7 5.3 4.3 3.8 3.3 2.5 2.7 2.2 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.2 0.7
Mathew Mildenhall 8.6 0.9 2.5 5.2 6.5 7.3 8.2 7.9 7.7 6.7 5.2 4.8 3.7 3.6 2.9 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.1 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.9 1.1
Jordan Williamsz 14.3 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.3 3.0 4.4 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.8 5.3 5.0 4.5 3.9 4.5 3.9 3.2 3.2 2.8 2.4 2.1 2.3 2.0 2.1
Robert Denault 15.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.9 3.6 4.2 4.7 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.2 4.8 4.9 4.4 3.9 3.8 3.2 2.9 2.5 2.7 2.1 2.1 2.0
Matthew Kane 25.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.5 3.5 3.3 3.6 3.9 4.0 4.0 3.9 4.0 3.6 3.4
Alex Tully 31.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.8 2.6 3.1 3.3 3.7 3.8
Greg Morrin 38.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.5 1.7 2.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 8.3% 100.0% 8.3 8.3 1
2 22.9% 100.0% 22.9 22.9 2
3 61.4% 10.6% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.4 3.0 54.9 6.5 3
4 6.5% 3.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3 0.2 4
5 0.7% 2.7% 0.0 0.7 0.0 5
6 0.1% 0.1 6
7 0.0% 0.0 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 38.0% 8.3 22.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.5 3.0 62.0 31.3 6.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Georgetown 80.3% 2.0 1.6
Florida 12.5% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 5.0% 1.0 0.0
William and Mary 0.9% 2.0 0.0
Providence 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Louisville 0.3% 2.0 0.0
McNeese State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Boise State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Lehigh 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 1.8
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 6.0