Virginia Tech
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
20  William Mulherin SR 31:09
138  Leoule Degfae JR 32:01
180  Thomas Curtin SO 32:11
230  Michael Hammond SR 32:17
418  Kevin Dowd JR 32:44
539  Brayden Burleigh SO 33:00
582  Brian Welch JR 33:05
609  Ryan Hagen SR 33:08
624  Grant Pollock JR 33:10
655  Jason Cusack SR 33:12
705  Darren Barlow FR 33:17
953  Patrick Woodford FR 33:42
1,299  Juan Campos FR 34:12
1,301  George Carter FR 34:12
1,746  Ryan Kuhns FR 34:52
National Rank #26 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #4 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 63.9%
Most Likely Finish 28th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 10 at Nationals 1.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 20.6%


Regional Champion 2.7%
Top 5 in Regional 87.4%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating William Mulherin Leoule Degfae Thomas Curtin Michael Hammond Kevin Dowd Brayden Burleigh Brian Welch Ryan Hagen Grant Pollock Jason Cusack Darren Barlow
Charlotte Invitational (Gold) 09/28 858 32:17 32:17 32:43 32:47 33:08 33:16 32:46 32:49 32:55 33:25
Pre-Nationals Meet (Black) 10/13 1070 33:12 33:27 33:07 32:39
Pre-Nationals Meet (Red) 10/13 592 31:06 31:40 32:12 32:22 32:49 33:48 33:02
ACC Championships 10/27 391 31:03 32:14 31:27 32:08 31:25 33:03 33:45 33:35 33:46
Southeast Region Championships 11/09 641 31:08 32:13 36:36 32:02 32:35 33:05 32:34
NCAA Championship 11/17 656 31:03 31:48 31:50 33:21 33:20





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 63.9% 22.7 527 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.1 2.5 3.2 3.5 3.3 4.0 4.4 4.8 4.6 4.0 4.5 4.8 3.9 3.0 2.0
Region Championship 100% 3.9 136 2.7 10.8 26.2 31.7 16.0 7.6 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
William Mulherin 99.6% 22.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.2 1.9 2.4 2.7 2.8 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.2 3.8 2.6 3.2 2.5 2.8 2.4 2.3 2.1 2.2 1.7
Leoule Degfae 64.1% 112.3 0.0
Thomas Curtin 64.0% 135.0
Michael Hammond 63.9% 153.8
Kevin Dowd 64.0% 210.9
Brayden Burleigh 64.0% 232.2
Brian Welch 64.1% 236.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
William Mulherin 3.4 5.6 16.2 22.1 14.8 9.6 6.2 5.9 4.2 3.6 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Leoule Degfae 18.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.8 2.7 3.3 4.7 6.1 5.5 5.3 5.2 4.8 4.9 4.5 4.3 3.7 3.6 3.3 2.7 2.7
Thomas Curtin 23.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.2 3.0 3.4 4.3 4.5 4.9 5.0 4.5 4.6 4.0 3.7 3.4 3.3
Michael Hammond 27.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.6 2.4 2.9 3.0 3.9 3.9 4.5 4.3 3.8 3.6 4.0
Kevin Dowd 49.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5
Brayden Burleigh 65.7
Brian Welch 70.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 2.7% 100.0% 2.7 2.7 1
2 10.8% 100.0% 10.8 10.8 2
3 26.2% 93.5% 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.7 2.4 2.4 3.5 3.4 3.5 2.3 1.6 0.8 1.3 1.7 24.5 3
4 31.7% 75.4% 0.2 1.0 1.4 2.1 2.0 3.6 3.6 2.7 2.6 2.1 2.8 7.8 23.9 4
5 16.0% 12.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 14.1 1.9 5
6 7.6% 1.3% 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.5 0.1 6
7 3.2% 0.6% 0.0 3.2 0.0 7
8 1.3% 1.3 8
9 0.4% 0.4 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 63.9% 2.7 10.8 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.7 3.8 4.6 5.7 7.1 7.4 5.3 4.6 3.3 4.4 36.1 13.5 50.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Florida State 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Tulsa 97.5% 1.0 1.0
Virginia 82.0% 1.0 0.8
Georgetown 80.3% 1.0 0.8
Villanova 34.8% 1.0 0.3
Florida 12.5% 1.0 0.1
Duke 11.7% 1.0 0.1
William and Mary 0.9% 1.0 0.0
Louisville 0.3% 1.0 0.0
North Carolina 0.2% 1.0 0.0
McNeese State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Boise State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Lehigh 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 4.2
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 8.0