American
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
425  Nicholas Regan JR 32:49
646  Brendan Johnson FR 33:16
707  John Pope SR 33:22
904  Joshua Ellis SO 33:43
923  Tom Woermer JR 33:44
1,060  Peter Rowe FR 33:56
1,184  Constantine Matsakis SR 34:06
1,356  Matiss Batarags SR 34:19
1,400  Bernard Skomal SO 34:23
1,543  David McCombs SO 34:36
2,052  Ian Lutz JR 35:25
National Rank #117 of 311
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #11 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 11th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.2%
Top 10 in Regional 55.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Nicholas Regan Brendan Johnson John Pope Joshua Ellis Tom Woermer Peter Rowe Constantine Matsakis Matiss Batarags Bernard Skomal David McCombs Ian Lutz
Mason Invitational 10/05 1281 35:32 34:56 33:36 34:35 36:22
Leopard Invitational 10/19 1123 33:02 33:23 33:21 33:39 33:43 33:56 34:22 33:46 34:41 34:37 35:08
Patriot League Championships 11/02 1060 32:48 33:01 33:01 33:42 33:31 33:19 33:49 34:31
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/15 1126 32:46 33:22 33:48 33:54 34:06





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 10.0 281 0.1 0.2 1.2 5.7 10.3 16.3 22.2 27.2 14.5 1.9 0.5 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nicholas Regan 0.0% 166.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nicholas Regan 31.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.8 2.3 2.5 2.8 3.4 3.4 3.8 3.8
Brendan Johnson 49.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
John Pope 53.4 0.0 0.0
Joshua Ellis 71.1
Tom Woermer 72.6
Peter Rowe 81.2
Constantine Matsakis 88.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.1% 0.1 4
5 0.2% 0.2 5
6 1.2% 1.2 6
7 5.7% 5.7 7
8 10.3% 10.3 8
9 16.3% 16.3 9
10 22.2% 22.2 10
11 27.2% 27.2 11
12 14.5% 14.5 12
13 1.9% 1.9 13
14 0.5% 0.5 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0