Arkansas
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
3  Kemoy Campbell SR 30:43
8  Stanley Kebenei JR 31:01
90  Solomon Haile SR 31:48
139  Gabe Gonzales SO 32:01
283  Patrick Rono SO 32:29
331  David Flynn SR 32:38
501  Cale Wallace SO 33:00
569  Raymond Joseph SR 33:07
962  Arch Robertson SO 33:48
1,123  Aidan Swain FR 34:01
1,271  Noah Findlay FR 34:13
National Rank #7 of 311
South Central Region Rank #1 of 35
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Nationals


National Champion 0.3%
Top 5 at Nationals 16.2%
Top 10 at Nationals 56.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 95.4%


Regional Champion 74.3%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Kemoy Campbell Stanley Kebenei Solomon Haile Gabe Gonzales Patrick Rono David Flynn Cale Wallace Raymond Joseph Arch Robertson Aidan Swain Noah Findlay
Chile Pepper Festival 10/05 429 30:35 31:18 31:43 32:09 33:08 32:52 33:39 32:32 33:38 33:29 34:30
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 446 30:45 31:24 32:06 32:02 32:18 32:55 32:48 32:59
SEC Championships 11/01 375 30:22 31:17 31:37 32:01 32:28 32:30 32:17 33:42 34:43 34:00
South Central Region Championships 11/15 430 31:14 31:14 31:45 31:59 32:26 33:31 34:00
NCAA Championship 11/23 419 31:24 30:42 31:54 31:57 32:22 32:29 33:30





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 10.5 335 0.3 1.3 2.8 5.0 6.8 7.5 8.1 8.5 8.5 7.2 6.3 6.1 5.7 4.7 3.9 3.5 2.8 2.5 2.0 1.8 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 1.3 32 74.3 25.6 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kemoy Campbell 100% 3.8 7.9 17.1 16.7 10.7 7.3 5.4 4.4 3.2 2.5 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.4 1.7 1.4 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4
Stanley Kebenei 100% 11.8 0.2 1.8 4.4 6.4 6.9 6.3 5.2 4.5 4.4 4.3 3.2 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.5 1.9 1.7 2.0 1.4 1.7 1.9 1.6 1.1 1.1 1.2
Solomon Haile 100% 86.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3
Gabe Gonzales 100% 116.7 0.0
Patrick Rono 100% 184.3
David Flynn 100% 198.3
Cale Wallace 100% 226.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kemoy Campbell 1.0 70.4 16.6 7.7 4.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Stanley Kebenei 1.8 15.5 41.9 20.8 16.8 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Solomon Haile 5.2 0.2 2.4 11.4 31.3 19.9 11.2 6.5 4.9 3.4 2.3 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
Gabe Gonzales 6.8 0.4 2.4 12.3 20.4 17.4 12.0 8.9 5.8 4.4 3.2 2.2 1.6 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.4
Patrick Rono 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.6 5.5 7.8 9.5 9.2 8.0 7.2 6.3 5.4 4.2 3.9 2.8 3.3 2.8 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.4
David Flynn 15.9 0.0 0.5 1.5 4.1 5.1 6.8 7.5 7.4 6.2 5.6 5.8 4.9 4.4 3.4 3.3 3.1 3.1 2.7 2.5 2.3
Cale Wallace 26.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.0 1.7 1.8 2.9 3.3 3.2 3.5 4.0 4.8 4.0 4.1 3.9 4.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 74.3% 100.0% 74.3 74.3 1
2 25.6% 100.0% 25.6 25.6 2
3 0.1% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
Total 100% 100.0% 74.3 25.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Indiana 99.6% 1.0 1.0
Michigan 99.5% 1.0 1.0
Eastern Kentucky 99.4% 1.0 1.0
Syracuse 98.9% 1.0 1.0
North Carolina 96.8% 1.0 1.0
Notre Dame 95.9% 1.0 1.0
Villanova 92.3% 1.0 0.9
Providence 91.6% 1.0 0.9
Air Force 68.6% 1.0 0.7
Harvard 65.7% 1.0 0.7
Florida 59.3% 2.0 1.2
Georgia 55.0% 2.0 1.1
Dartmouth 23.0% 1.0 0.2
Georgetown 17.7% 1.0 0.2
Minnesota 17.1% 1.0 0.2
Auburn 14.4% 1.0 0.1
Washington 10.2% 1.0 0.1
Arizona State 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Tennessee 7.8% 2.0 0.2
North Carolina St. 5.2% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 4.7% 1.0 0.0
UCLA 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Louisville 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 13.5
Minimum 8.0
Maximum 20.0