Auburn
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
59  Ty McCormack JR 31:38
211  Kane Grimster JR 32:14
360  Niklas Buhner JR 32:41
455  Samuel Mueller SR 32:55
851  Francisco Hernandez JR 33:37
1,413  Jason Miller SR 34:24
1,845  Andrew Scott SR 35:02
2,496  Hunter Hayes SR 36:23
National Rank #54 of 311
South Region Rank #4 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 14.9%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.1%


Regional Champion 4.1%
Top 5 in Regional 91.5%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ty McCormack Kane Grimster Niklas Buhner Samuel Mueller Francisco Hernandez Jason Miller Andrew Scott Hunter Hayes
Virginia Panorama Farms Invitational 09/28 722 31:46 32:10 32:24 32:11 33:06 34:36 34:20
Alabama Crimson Classic 10/18 919 32:08 32:33 32:30 33:08 33:40 34:35 34:47 36:23
SEC Championships 11/01 874 31:40 31:53 33:05 34:28 34:11 34:27 37:40
South Region Championships 11/15 860 31:50 32:23 32:54 32:34 33:38 33:52
NCAA Championship 11/23 31:17





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 14.9% 29.4 691 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 1.0 1.2 2.9 4.3 4.5
Region Championship 100% 3.9 130 4.1 10.3 18.1 32.8 26.1 6.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ty McCormack 96.1% 61.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.7
Kane Grimster 47.7% 140.0
Niklas Buhner 16.0% 190.3
Samuel Mueller 14.9% 210.6
Francisco Hernandez 14.9% 242.9
Jason Miller 15.4% 250.0
Andrew Scott 17.0% 251.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ty McCormack 2.2 23.0 24.3 18.1 10.8 6.7 4.4 3.2 2.9 1.8 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Kane Grimster 8.6 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.5 7.7 9.7 9.6 9.2 8.3 7.2 6.0 4.9 3.6 3.5 2.8 2.8 2.3 1.8 1.7 1.2 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.6
Niklas Buhner 18.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.2 3.3 4.3 5.2 5.5 5.7 5.8 5.1 5.0 4.5 4.2 3.7 3.5 2.9 2.7 2.8 2.9
Samuel Mueller 25.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.5 2.2 3.0 3.5 3.7 3.9 3.8 4.0 4.5 4.0 4.2 3.1 3.4
Francisco Hernandez 59.1 0.0 0.0
Jason Miller 105.5
Andrew Scott 135.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 4.1% 100.0% 4.1 4.1 1
2 10.3% 100.0% 10.3 10.3 2
3 18.1% 2.3% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 17.7 0.4 3
4 32.8% 32.8 4
5 26.1% 26.1 5
6 6.6% 6.6 6
7 1.5% 1.5 7
8 0.2% 0.2 8
9 0.0% 0.0 9
10 0.0% 0.0 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 14.9% 4.1 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 85.1 14.4 0.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Tennessee 7.8% 1.0 0.1
Total 0.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0