Davidson
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
695  Sal del Giudice JR 33:21
811  Daniel Samet SO 33:33
920  Whitner Chase SO 33:44
1,211  Ryan Phillips SO 34:08
1,444  Grayam Sailor-Tynes SR 34:27
1,763  John Mogen FR 34:55
1,900  Aaron Forburger SO 35:08
1,965  Jamie Durling SO 35:15
2,528  Patrick Rollo SO 36:28
National Rank #155 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #23 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 20th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 51.5%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sal del Giudice Daniel Samet Whitner Chase Ryan Phillips Grayam Sailor-Tynes John Mogen Aaron Forburger Jamie Durling Patrick Rollo
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/05 1179 33:18 33:30 33:49 34:42 34:14 34:52 35:26 35:04
Southern Conference Meet 11/02 1182 33:30 33:48 33:32 34:11 34:38 34:58 34:57 35:34 36:28
Southeast Region Championships 11/15 1154 33:14 33:23 33:55 33:28 34:30 35:06 35:10





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 20.4 575 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.4 6.4 11.2 13.4 14.9 13.2 14.0 10.9 8.8 1.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sal del Giudice 80.7
Daniel Samet 94.5
Whitner Chase 105.9
Ryan Phillips 130.9
Grayam Sailor-Tynes 149.2
John Mogen 176.5
Aaron Forburger 190.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 0.0% 0.0 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 0.6% 0.6 14
15 1.5% 1.5 15
16 3.4% 3.4 16
17 6.4% 6.4 17
18 11.2% 11.2 18
19 13.4% 13.4 19
20 14.9% 14.9 20
21 13.2% 13.2 21
22 14.0% 14.0 22
23 10.9% 10.9 23
24 8.8% 8.8 24
25 1.5% 1.5 25
26 0.1% 0.1 26
27 0.0% 0.0 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0