Duke
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
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RankNameGradeRating
141  Shaun Thompson JR 32:01
183  Brian Atkinson SR 32:10
297  Mike Moverman SR 32:31
350  Christian Britto SR 32:40
583  William Rooney SO 33:09
654  Lucas Talavan-Becker SR 33:17
836  Brian Schoepfer JR 33:36
894  Phil Fairleigh JR 33:42
964  Clinton McKelvey JR 33:48
970  Stephen Shine FR 33:48
976  Blake Udland SO 33:48
1,180  Nate McClafferty JR 34:06
1,659  Weston Carvalho FR 34:46
1,745  Eddie Merenda SO 34:53
1,858  Aaron Liberatore FR 35:04
National Rank #52 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #7 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 3.2%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.1%


Regional Champion 0.1%
Top 5 in Regional 43.1%
Top 10 in Regional 99.6%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Shaun Thompson Brian Atkinson Mike Moverman Christian Britto William Rooney Lucas Talavan-Becker Brian Schoepfer Phil Fairleigh Clinton McKelvey Stephen Shine Blake Udland
Virginia Panorama Farms Invitational 09/28 729 31:55 32:10 31:54 33:00 32:57 32:46 33:28 34:01 33:19
Queens Royal Challenge 10/11 1167 33:41 33:59 34:18 33:42 33:42
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 892 32:25 32:24 32:39 32:39 33:05 33:27 33:32
ACC Championships 11/01 714 31:30 32:08 32:14 32:35 33:54 33:48 33:10 33:55 34:17
3 Stripe Invite 11/09 1206 33:36 34:05
Southeast Region Championships 11/15 875 32:16 32:03 34:23 32:29 33:33 33:06 33:59





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 3.2% 27.8 645 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6
Region Championship 100% 5.8 189 0.1 0.4 2.6 15.6 24.4 30.9 16.6 6.0 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shaun Thompson 11.2% 97.3 0.0
Brian Atkinson 4.8% 122.1
Mike Moverman 3.2% 158.5
Christian Britto 3.2% 180.0
William Rooney 3.2% 223.3
Lucas Talavan-Becker 3.2% 231.0
Brian Schoepfer 3.2% 243.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shaun Thompson 16.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.5 4.7 4.7 4.9 5.6 5.1 4.6 4.8 4.2 4.0 3.8 4.2 3.9 3.5 3.0 3.2 2.6 2.3 2.2
Brian Atkinson 20.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.6 3.0 3.4 4.1 3.6 4.6 4.3 4.1 4.5 4.5 3.9 4.0 3.5 3.7 3.0 3.0
Mike Moverman 33.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.9 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.9 3.5 4.0
Christian Britto 39.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.6 2.0
William Rooney 67.1
Lucas Talavan-Becker 76.0
Brian Schoepfer 97.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 1
2 0.4% 100.0% 0.4 0.4 2
3 2.6% 47.3% 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.4 1.2 3
4 15.6% 5.6% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 14.7 0.9 4
5 24.4% 2.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 23.8 0.6 5
6 30.9% 0.1% 0.0 30.8 0.0 6
7 16.6% 16.6 7
8 6.0% 6.0 8
9 2.2% 2.2 9
10 0.8% 0.8 10
11 0.2% 0.2 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 0.0% 0.0 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 3.2% 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.7 96.8 0.5 2.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Florida State 67.8% 2.0 1.4
Auburn 14.4% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 5.2% 1.0 0.1
Virginia Tech 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Penn State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 1.6
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 4.0