Elon
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
174  Luis Vargas JR 32:10
585  Ben Perron SR 33:09
1,401  Ari Rothschild JR 34:23
1,498  Nick Schneider SR 34:32
1,950  James Stevenson SR 35:13
2,069  Nick Foley SO 35:26
2,134  Adam Bernstein JR 35:34
2,238  Ian O'Leary FR 35:48
2,571  Ryan Gwaltney SO 36:37
National Rank #107 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #14 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 21st at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 37.1%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Luis Vargas Ben Perron Ari Rothschild Nick Schneider James Stevenson Nick Foley Adam Bernstein Ian O'Leary Ryan Gwaltney
Mountaineer Open Meet 10/04 1276 34:41 34:18 34:28 35:26 36:03 36:36 36:49
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/05 32:04 33:09
Pre-National Invitational (White) 10/19 32:13
Southern Conference Meet 11/02 1186 32:27 34:15 34:34 35:23 35:41 36:15
3 Stripe Invite 11/09 1348 35:43 34:43 35:03 36:51
Southeast Region Championships 11/15 31:57 34:19 34:45 35:47





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 21.2 594 0.1 0.2 0.8 3.7 7.4 11.0 14.0 15.9 15.8 15.8 13.0 2.2 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luis Vargas 3.3% 110.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luis Vargas 20.7 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.5 2.1 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.8 3.6 4.1 4.8 4.3 4.5 3.9 4.1 4.0 3.6 3.4 3.7 2.3
Ben Perron 67.5
Ari Rothschild 146.1
Nick Schneider 154.2
James Stevenson 195.2
Nick Foley 207.1
Adam Bernstein 213.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 0.2% 0.2 15
16 0.8% 0.8 16
17 3.7% 3.7 17
18 7.4% 7.4 18
19 11.0% 11.0 19
20 14.0% 14.0 20
21 15.9% 15.9 21
22 15.8% 15.8 22
23 15.8% 15.8 23
24 13.0% 13.0 24
25 2.2% 2.2 25
26 0.2% 0.2 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0