Florida
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
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RankNameGradeRating
38  Mark Parrish SR 31:27
77  Jimmy Clark JR 31:44
188  Eddie Garcia JR 32:11
551  Carlos Miranda FR 33:06
608  John-Logan Hines JR 33:12
1,154  Mac Reynolds FR 34:04
1,200  Elliot Clemente SO 34:08
1,564  Harsha Torke SO 34:38
2,158  Mark Mutz FR 35:37
National Rank #32 of 311
South Region Rank #1 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 62.6%
Most Likely Finish 28th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 2.4%


Regional Champion 26.5%
Top 5 in Regional 99.1%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Mark Parrish Jimmy Clark Eddie Garcia Carlos Miranda John-Logan Hines Mac Reynolds Elliot Clemente Harsha Torke Mark Mutz
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 686 31:14 31:38 32:05 33:07 34:03 34:08 36:14
SEC Championships 11/01 720 31:45 31:40 32:12 32:57 33:17 35:15 33:48 35:37
South Region Championships 11/15 710 31:42 31:48 32:16 32:52 32:57 33:29 35:47
NCAA Championship 11/23 791 31:27 32:05 32:20 33:48 33:28 34:03 34:16





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 62.6% 26.8 602 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.5 2.1 2.7 3.9 5.4 7.3 7.6 9.5 8.7 7.2 4.3
Region Championship 100% 2.5 96 26.5 28.5 25.4 13.2 5.6 0.8 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mark Parrish 99.4% 41.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.7 1.4 1.5 2.1 1.7 2.0 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.7
Jimmy Clark 93.4% 74.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4
Eddie Garcia 72.1% 136.3
Carlos Miranda 62.7% 228.6
John-Logan Hines 62.7% 233.3
Mac Reynolds 64.3% 249.9
Elliot Clemente 64.6% 250.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mark Parrish 1.0 51.1 20.2 10.6 6.2 3.5 2.3 1.9 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jimmy Clark 2.9 10.0 22.2 20.1 14.7 8.8 6.0 4.4 2.9 2.8 1.9 1.6 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1
Eddie Garcia 7.9 0.1 0.8 2.8 7.0 10.1 10.9 9.8 9.3 6.8 6.4 5.6 4.5 3.3 2.8 2.5 2.6 1.8 2.0 1.3 1.4 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.4
Carlos Miranda 33.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.4 1.9 2.4 3.2 2.9 3.0 3.2
John-Logan Hines 38.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.3 2.0 2.2 2.8
Mac Reynolds 84.9
Elliot Clemente 89.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 26.5% 100.0% 26.5 26.5 1
2 28.5% 100.0% 28.5 28.5 2
3 25.4% 23.9% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 1.0 0.8 2.9 19.3 6.1 3
4 13.2% 11.9% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 11.6 1.6 4
5 5.6% 0.4% 0.0 5.5 0.0 5
6 0.8% 0.8 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 62.6% 26.5 28.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.5 1.3 1.1 3.3 37.4 55.0 7.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Georgia 55.0% 2.0 1.1
Georgetown 17.7% 1.0 0.2
Minnesota 17.1% 1.0 0.2
Auburn 14.4% 1.0 0.1
Tennessee 7.8% 2.0 0.2
North Carolina St. 5.2% 1.0 0.1
UCLA 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Louisville 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 1.8
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 7.0