Harvard
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
4  Maksim Korolev SR 30:51
227  Tom Purnell SO 32:17
322  James Leakos SR 32:36
368  Will Geiken JR 32:42
437  Nephat Maritim JR 32:51
450  Chris Allen SO 32:54
556  Kellen Blumberg SR 33:06
570  Kurt Ruegg SR 33:08
610  Adam Cotton JR 33:12
730  Billy Gaudreau SO 33:26
794  Johnny Marvin SO 33:32
832  Ryan Meehan JR 33:35
951  Dan Milechman JR 33:47
1,044  Lukas Gemar JR 33:54
1,051  Brandon Price FR 33:55
1,176  Connor Reck JR 34:06
1,524  Fred Ward JR 34:34
2,037  Carl Ward JR 35:23
National Rank #35 of 311
Northeast Region Rank #6 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 72.5%
Most Likely Finish 30th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 1.2%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 17.7%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Maksim Korolev Tom Purnell James Leakos Will Geiken Nephat Maritim Chris Allen Kellen Blumberg Kurt Ruegg Adam Cotton Billy Gaudreau Johnny Marvin
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 538 30:48 32:02 31:13 32:46 32:50 32:39 33:33
Princeton Invitational 10/19 1161 33:22 33:28
Ivy League Championships 11/02 745 31:22 32:02 32:46 32:53 33:03 33:06 33:02 32:48 33:26 33:36
Northeast Region Championships 11/15 757 31:33 32:38 32:23 32:34 32:41 32:51 33:44
NCAA Championship 11/23 805 30:31 32:50 37:18 32:42 33:27 33:13 33:01





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 72.5% 28.1 639 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.2 2.3 3.1 5.5 8.0 10.5 15.2 15.5 8.4
Region Championship 100% 6.0 161 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.8 13.0 62.9 17.7 1.6 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maksim Korolev 100% 5.9 3.1 9.5 12.7 11.0 8.5 6.1 5.3 4.4 3.2 2.9 2.5 2.3 1.9 1.8 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.8
Tom Purnell 75.3% 153.7
James Leakos 72.6% 193.3
Will Geiken 72.5% 203.6
Chris Allen 72.5% 218.3
Kellen Blumberg 72.5% 229.8
Kurt Ruegg 72.5% 232.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maksim Korolev 1.0 75.7 13.0 3.9 1.8 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tom Purnell 25.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.6 2.8 2.7 3.3 4.0 3.6 4.0 4.4 4.2 4.5 4.1
James Leakos 37.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.9 2.4
Will Geiken 41.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 0.9
Chris Allen 50.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
Kellen Blumberg 61.1
Kurt Ruegg 62.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 2
3 0.7% 100.0% 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 3
4 3.8% 100.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 3.8 4
5 13.0% 93.1% 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 2.3 2.2 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.9 12.1 5
6 62.9% 83.2% 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.2 6.6 10.3 10.4 9.4 6.0 5.3 10.6 52.3 6
7 17.7% 19.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 14.4 3.4 7
8 1.6% 1.6 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 72.5% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 2.6 5.7 9.9 13.8 13.2 11.4 7.8 6.8 27.5 0.2 72.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Indiana 99.6% 1.0 1.0
Notre Dame 95.9% 1.0 1.0
Air Force 68.6% 1.0 0.7
Florida 59.3% 1.0 0.6
Georgia 55.0% 1.0 0.6
Dartmouth 23.0% 1.0 0.2
Georgetown 17.7% 1.0 0.2
Minnesota 17.1% 1.0 0.2
Washington 10.2% 1.0 0.1
Arizona State 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Tennessee 7.8% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 5.2% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 4.7% 1.0 0.0
UCLA 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Louisville 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 5.7
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 11.0