Illinois
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
63  Jannis Topfer SR 31:40
152  Liam Markham SO 32:05
287  Ian Barnett SO 32:30
376  Brendan McDonnell JR 32:43
457  Will Brewster FR 32:55
468  Tommy King SO 32:56
614  Paul Zeman SO 33:13
679  Luke Carroll FR 33:20
874  Graham Morris SR 33:40
930  Sam Telfer SO 33:45
1,145  Jereme Atchison SO 34:03
1,562  Ryan Burgoon FR 34:38
2,092  Jon Vaccaro FR 35:29
2,542  Anthony Manfrin 36:31
2,861  Joe McAsey SO 37:48
National Rank #41 of 311
Midwest Region Rank #5 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 9.4%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.9%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 56.5%
Top 10 in Regional 99.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jannis Topfer Liam Markham Ian Barnett Brendan McDonnell Will Brewster Tommy King Paul Zeman Luke Carroll Graham Morris Sam Telfer Jereme Atchison
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/04 769 31:28 31:53 32:57 33:00 33:04 33:04 33:42
Bradley Classic 10/18 1214 33:25 33:48 33:58
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 669 31:35 31:59 32:07 32:38 32:52 32:44 33:16 34:05
Illini Open 10/25 33:45 34:10
Big Ten Championships 11/03 754 31:41 32:01 33:17 32:29 32:51 32:49 32:55 33:13 33:17
Midwest Region Championships 11/15 839 31:45 32:45 32:23 33:00 33:00 33:17 33:50
NCAA Championship 11/23 31:58





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 9.4% 26.1 596 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.0 0.8
Region Championship 100% 5.4 166 0.9 6.1 20.8 28.8 23.0 12.9 5.4 1.7 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jannis Topfer 68.2% 69.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.6
Liam Markham 15.5% 105.3
Ian Barnett 9.5% 167.3
Brendan McDonnell 9.4% 194.0
Will Brewster 9.4% 211.5
Tommy King 9.4% 214.9
Paul Zeman 9.4% 231.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jannis Topfer 7.4 1.4 3.2 5.9 9.2 9.3 9.1 8.8 7.6 5.5 4.8 3.8 3.5 2.9 3.1 2.3 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.7
Liam Markham 18.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.8 2.7 3.6 4.0 4.1 4.3 4.2 4.6 3.9 4.2 3.8 3.9 3.5 3.4 3.1 2.9 3.2 2.6 2.5
Ian Barnett 34.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.4 2.8 2.8
Brendan McDonnell 45.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.8
Will Brewster 56.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
Tommy King 56.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Paul Zeman 73.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.9% 100.0% 0.9 0.9 2
3 6.1% 48.5% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 3.1 2.9 3
4 20.8% 18.2% 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 17.0 3.8 4
5 28.8% 5.0% 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 27.4 1.4 5
6 23.0% 1.4% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 22.7 0.3 6
7 12.9% 0.2% 0.0 12.9 0.0 7
8 5.4% 5.4 8
9 1.7% 1.7 9
10 0.3% 0.3 10
11 0.1% 0.1 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 9.4% 0.9 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.4 1.3 1.6 2.2 90.6 0.9 8.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Florida 59.3% 1.0 0.6
Georgia 55.0% 1.0 0.6
Dartmouth 23.0% 1.0 0.2
Georgetown 17.7% 1.0 0.2
Minnesota 17.1% 1.0 0.2
Arizona State 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Tennessee 7.8% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 5.2% 1.0 0.1
Butler 1.4% 1.0 0.0
UCLA 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Penn State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Louisville 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 2.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 8.0