Lamar
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
105  Matt Johnsen SR 31:52
246  Ash Harrell SR 32:22
334  Ryan Saunders JR 32:38
564  Sam Stabler JR 33:07
619  Michael Kershaw SR 33:14
745  Ryan Creech JR 33:28
873  Sean Guiney FR 33:40
1,374  Matt Jackson JR 34:21
2,286  Sean Chalmers FR 35:54
National Rank #57 of 311
South Central Region Rank #3 of 35
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.2%
Most Likely Finish 3rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 99.8%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Matt Johnsen Ash Harrell Ryan Saunders Sam Stabler Michael Kershaw Ryan Creech Sean Guiney Matt Jackson Sean Chalmers
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/04 888 32:32 32:16 32:32 35:07 32:51 32:57 35:02 34:22
HBU Invitational 10/11 35:56
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 897 31:54 32:15 33:03 33:14 33:30 33:24
Southland Conference Championships 11/01 910 32:05 32:23 32:42 33:42 33:13 33:22 35:55
South Central Region Championships 11/15 789 31:33 32:03 32:47 32:51 33:14 35:07
NCAA Championship 11/23 31:41 33:18





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.2% 28.8 692 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
Region Championship 100% 3.1 106 0.2 92.0 7.0 0.6 0.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Johnsen 94.9% 94.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1
Ash Harrell 66.6% 164.9
Ryan Saunders 31.4% 191.3
Sam Stabler 0.7% 214.0
Michael Kershaw 0.3% 230.0
Ryan Creech 0.2% 238.0
Sean Guiney 0.2% 240.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Johnsen 5.7 0.0 0.2 1.8 8.4 25.4 19.0 14.1 9.1 5.9 4.3 2.7 1.9 1.7 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Ash Harrell 10.9 0.1 0.7 3.2 6.1 10.0 11.1 10.1 9.6 7.9 5.8 4.8 4.2 2.9 3.3 2.5 2.3 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.1 1.3 0.9
Ryan Saunders 16.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.9 4.6 6.4 7.4 7.0 7.0 6.5 5.4 4.8 4.5 3.6 3.6 3.0 2.9 2.6 2.4 2.0
Sam Stabler 31.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.9 3.4 4.2
Michael Kershaw 35.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.6 2.2 2.4 2.5
Ryan Creech 43.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6
Sean Guiney 51.6 0.0 0.0 0.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 2
3 92.0% 92.0 3
4 7.0% 7.0 4
5 0.6% 0.6 5
6 0.2% 0.2 6
7 0.0% 0.0 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2 99.8 0.2 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Butler 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0