Minnesota
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
198  Andrew Larsen SR 32:12
234  Derek Storkel SR 32:20
275  Adam Zutz SO 32:28
319  John Simons SR 32:36
338  Marcus Paulson JR 32:39
442  Alex Brend SO 32:53
522  Steve Sulkin SR 33:02
572  Blayne Dulian JR 33:08
644  Christian Skaret SO 33:16
653  Riley Macon FR 33:17
765  Bobby Nicolls SR 33:29
908  Troy Koivisto FR 33:43
1,273  Cole O'Brien FR 34:13
National Rank #51 of 311
Midwest Region Rank #7 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 23.1%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.7%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 48.5%
Top 10 in Regional 99.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Andrew Larsen Derek Storkel Adam Zutz John Simons Marcus Paulson Alex Brend Steve Sulkin Blayne Dulian Christian Skaret Riley Macon Bobby Nicolls
Roy Griak Invitational (Gold) 09/28 827 32:31 32:45 32:42 31:43 32:58 33:12 33:01 33:18 33:08 33:29
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/04 553 32:05 32:27 32:03 31:22 32:29 32:07 32:14 33:23 33:13
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 834 32:17 32:15 32:34 34:03 32:30 32:54 33:51 34:58 33:33
Big Ten Championships 11/03 770 32:04 32:01 32:22 34:22 32:54 32:40 32:55 32:48
Midwest Region Championships 11/15 790 32:07 32:18 32:35 32:26 32:36 33:38 33:35





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 23.1% 28.2 659 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.7 3.8 4.9 5.0
Region Championship 100% 5.6 172 0.0 0.7 4.8 19.2 23.9 25.4 15.8 7.6 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Andrew Larsen 24.5% 127.2
Derek Storkel 23.3% 144.6
Adam Zutz 23.1% 165.5
John Simons 23.1% 182.9
Marcus Paulson 23.1% 188.8
Alex Brend 23.1% 211.1
Steve Sulkin 23.1% 223.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Andrew Larsen 22.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.1 1.4 2.2 2.1 2.6 3.2 3.6 3.4 4.1 4.2 3.9 3.5 4.4 3.5 3.9 3.5 3.1 3.5
Derek Storkel 27.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.0 0.8 1.7 1.7 2.0 2.5 2.9 3.2 3.1 3.0 3.6 3.4 3.9 3.5 3.8
Adam Zutz 33.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.6 1.8 2.2 2.2 2.4 3.0 3.2 3.2
John Simons 39.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.7 2.1
Marcus Paulson 42.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.6
Alex Brend 54.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Steve Sulkin 63.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 0.7% 100.0% 0.7 0.7 2
3 4.8% 83.8% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.8 4.0 3
4 19.2% 64.5% 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.6 3.1 6.8 12.4 4
5 23.9% 23.7% 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.2 1.1 2.0 18.2 5.7 5
6 25.4% 1.4% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 25.0 0.4 6
7 15.8% 15.8 7
8 7.6% 7.6 8
9 2.1% 2.1 9
10 0.4% 0.4 10
11 0.1% 0.1 11
12 0.0% 0.0 12
13 0.0% 0.0 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 23.1% 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.4 2.4 3.1 4.2 4.3 5.9 76.9 0.7 22.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Notre Dame 95.9% 1.0 1.0
New Mexico 93.9% 1.0 0.9
Colorado St. 72.5% 1.0 0.7
Florida State 67.8% 1.0 0.7
Virginia 64.2% 1.0 0.6
Georgia 55.0% 1.0 0.6
Tennessee 7.8% 1.0 0.1
Southern Utah 6.7% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 4.7% 2.0 0.1
Butler 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Penn State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.0% 3.0 0.0
Total 4.8
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 9.0