Princeton
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
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RankNameGradeRating
61  Tyler Udland SR 31:38
114  Alejandro Arroyo Yamin SR 31:55
118  Sam Pons JR 31:56
145  Chris Bendtsen SR 32:02
190  Matt McDonald JR 32:11
326  Eddie Owens JR 32:37
477  Connor Martin JR 32:57
537  George Galasso SR 33:05
616  Sam Berger SO 33:14
652  Michael Williams SR 33:17
658  William Bertrand FR 33:17
674  Brett Kelly SO 33:19
817  Michael Sublette SO 33:34
1,164  Jack Leahey FR 34:05
1,213  William Paulson FR 34:08
1,301  Bradley Paternostro JR 34:16
2,149  Garrett Rowe SR 35:35
National Rank #19 of 311
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #2 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.1%
Most Likely Finish 19th at Nationals


National Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at Nationals 3.5%
Top 10 at Nationals 17.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 62.0%


Regional Champion 45.9%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Tyler Udland Alejandro Arroyo Yamin Sam Pons Chris Bendtsen Matt McDonald Eddie Owens Connor Martin George Galasso Sam Berger Michael Williams William Bertrand
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/04 493 31:32 32:43 31:52 31:34 31:47 33:18 33:16 33:29
Lehigh Paul Short Run 10/05 1120 33:28 32:47 33:20
Princeton Invitational 10/19 1051 32:35 33:11 32:56
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 579 31:49 31:53 31:47 32:03 32:35 32:59 32:46
Ivy League Championships 11/02 566 31:49 32:04 32:07 31:50 32:11 32:19 33:03 32:55 33:15 33:40 33:25
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/15 494 31:34 31:36 31:56 32:06 32:12 32:12
NCAA Championship 11/23 557 31:26 31:36 31:57 33:01 32:10 33:10 33:00





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.1% 17.7 445 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.0 2.6 2.7 3.2 3.0 3.6 4.2 4.2 3.9 4.6 4.7 4.6 4.6 5.7 4.7 4.5 4.8 4.6 4.6 4.8 3.6 3.4 2.9 1.8 1.4 0.6
Region Championship 100% 1.6 53 45.9 44.3 9.6 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tyler Udland 99.6% 62.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.0
Alejandro Arroyo Yamin 99.2% 103.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Sam Pons 99.3% 104.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Chris Bendtsen 99.2% 119.5 0.1
Matt McDonald 99.2% 143.7
Eddie Owens 99.1% 197.1
Connor Martin 99.1% 224.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tyler Udland 4.1 4.1 12.4 16.8 15.1 12.0 7.9 6.2 4.1 4.0 3.1 2.6 2.2 1.6 1.7 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2
Alejandro Arroyo Yamin 8.1 0.1 1.4 3.6 6.9 10.1 9.9 9.3 8.2 6.4 6.2 5.4 4.8 3.6 3.6 2.9 2.6 2.4 2.3 1.7 1.0 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.6 0.5
Sam Pons 8.2 0.3 1.0 3.5 6.6 9.2 10.3 9.2 8.1 7.0 5.8 5.7 5.0 4.4 3.4 3.3 2.3 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.4 1.4 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5
Chris Bendtsen 10.2 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.7 5.2 7.6 8.3 7.8 7.9 7.5 6.5 5.8 5.0 4.6 4.1 3.9 3.0 2.9 2.6 1.9 1.4 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.8
Matt McDonald 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.3 4.4 4.8 6.4 7.2 7.1 6.8 6.6 6.2 5.5 4.9 4.2 3.5 3.3 2.9 2.7 2.5 1.8 1.7 1.6
Eddie Owens 23.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.7 1.5 2.4 3.1 3.3 4.8 5.5 4.8 5.5 5.0 4.4 5.1 4.5 3.6
Connor Martin 36.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.5 1.5 2.2 2.4 2.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 45.9% 100.0% 45.9 45.9 1
2 44.3% 100.0% 44.3 44.3 2
3 9.6% 90.8% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.7 0.9 8.7 3
4 0.2% 81.8% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 99.1% 45.9 44.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 90.2 8.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Notre Dame 95.9% 1.0 1.0
New Mexico 93.9% 1.0 0.9
Colorado St. 72.5% 1.0 0.7
Florida State 67.8% 2.0 1.4
Harvard 65.7% 1.0 0.7
Virginia 64.2% 1.0 0.6
Dartmouth 23.0% 1.0 0.2
Minnesota 17.1% 1.0 0.2
Southern Utah 6.7% 2.0 0.1
Illinois 4.7% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma 4.4% 1.0 0.0
Boise State 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Butler 1.4% 2.0 0.0
Duke 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Virginia Tech 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Penn State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Kansas 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 6.0
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 11.0