Southern Utah
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
84  Ryan Barrus SR 31:47
181  Mike Tate FR 32:10
221  Dylan Marx JR 32:17
293  Hayden Hawks SO 32:31
424  Clinton Rhoton JR 32:49
567  John Hart SR 33:07
581  Anthony Brown SR 33:09
649  Ibrahim Ahmed FR 33:17
717  Skylar Riggs SO 33:24
767  Sean Newcomb FR 33:29
1,234  Jon Lee SR 34:10
National Rank #36 of 311
Mountain Region Rank #7 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 26.0%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 3.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 7.4%
Top 10 in Regional 98.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ryan Barrus Mike Tate Dylan Marx Hayden Hawks Clinton Rhoton John Hart Anthony Brown Ibrahim Ahmed Skylar Riggs Sean Newcomb Jon Lee
UNLV Invitational 09/28 1132 34:36 33:01 33:36 33:12 34:17 33:51
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/04 778 31:47 32:55 32:20 32:59 32:49 32:28 33:31 32:34 34:21
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 703 31:38 32:05 32:19 32:14 33:12 33:21 33:55
Big Sky Championships 11/01 660 31:44 32:01 32:05 32:24 32:36 33:22 33:44 33:17
Mountain Region Championships 11/15 703 31:35 32:01 32:22 32:34 32:45 33:21 33:09
NCAA Championship 11/23 32:29





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 26.0% 26.0 599 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.6 2.1 2.5 3.1 3.3 3.5 2.4
Region Championship 100% 7.0 205 0.0 1.1 6.3 19.7 51.7 12.5 5.0 2.4 1.0 0.3



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Barrus 63.6% 75.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3
Mike Tate 29.6% 127.8
Dylan Marx 27.1% 143.1
Hayden Hawks 26.0% 172.5
Clinton Rhoton 26.0% 208.5
John Hart 26.0% 228.2
Anthony Brown 26.0% 229.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Barrus 20.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.4 2.3 2.8 3.4 3.4 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.8 4.6 4.0 4.1 3.5 4.0 3.3 3.3 3.2 2.5
Mike Tate 34.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.4 1.3 2.0 1.8 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.0
Dylan Marx 39.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.7 2.1
Hayden Hawks 48.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1
Clinton Rhoton 57.8
John Hart 65.1
Anthony Brown 65.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 3
4 1.1% 94.5% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.0 4
5 6.3% 85.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.0 1.1 0.3 0.9 5.3 5
6 19.7% 57.7% 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.5 2.2 4.0 1.3 8.3 11.3 6
7 51.7% 15.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.8 5.1 43.8 7.9 7
8 12.5% 3.0% 0.1 0.1 0.2 12.1 0.4 8
9 5.0% 5.0 9
10 2.4% 2.4 10
11 1.0% 1.0 11
12 0.3% 0.3 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 26.0% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.1 1.9 2.9 4.0 7.1 7.0 74.0 0.0 26.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Florida State 67.8% 2.0 1.4
Illinois 4.7% 1.0 0.0
Butler 1.4% 2.0 0.0
Duke 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Virginia Tech 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Penn State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Kansas 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.5
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 5.0