Syracuse
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
67  Martin Hehir SO 31:41
82  Robert Molke SR 31:47
94  Griff Graves SR 31:49
104  MJ Erb FR 31:52
218  Joe Whelan SR 32:15
222  Ryan Urie JR 32:17
229  Reed Kamyszek JR 32:18
236  Max Straneva JR 32:20
428  Juris Silenieks SO 32:50
506  Kevyn Hoyos FR 33:00
524  Joel Hubbard FR 33:02
539  Andrew Bennison SO 33:05
713  Joe Kush SO 33:24
939  Andrew Palmer JR 33:46
958  Dan Lennon SO 33:47
1,415  David Wilson JR 34:24
1,516  Ryan Perry FR 34:33
National Rank #14 of 311
Northeast Region Rank #2 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.4%
Most Likely Finish 10th at Nationals


National Champion 0.5%
Top 5 at Nationals 11.1%
Top 10 at Nationals 36.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 81.8%


Regional Champion 36.7%
Top 5 in Regional 99.5%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Martin Hehir Robert Molke Griff Graves MJ Erb Joe Whelan Ryan Urie Reed Kamyszek Max Straneva Juris Silenieks Kevyn Hoyos Joel Hubbard
Coast-to-Coast Battle in Beantown 09/27 655 31:43 32:34 32:24 32:19 32:16 32:05 32:55 32:50 33:00 32:58
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 521 31:34 31:50 32:10 31:41 32:21 32:31 32:21
Princeton Invitational 10/19
ACC Championships 11/01 484 31:27 31:41 31:54 32:10 32:15 32:35 32:20 32:04 33:07
Northeast Region Championships 11/15 491 31:40 31:41 31:55 32:06 31:58 32:05 32:16
NCAA Championship 11/23 393 31:58 31:27 31:29 31:32 32:21 32:06 32:48





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.4% 13.7 382 0.5 1.4 2.0 3.3 3.9 4.8 4.7 5.1 5.3 5.4 5.1 5.2 5.3 4.7 4.4 4.1 4.8 4.3 3.8 3.7 3.0 3.1 3.0 2.1 1.6 1.6 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.1
Region Championship 100% 2.2 70 36.7 29.7 19.1 9.2 4.7 0.5 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Martin Hehir 99.7% 67.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5
Robert Molke 99.6% 80.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Griff Graves 99.5% 88.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2
MJ Erb 99.5% 94.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
Joe Whelan 99.4% 153.8
Ryan Urie 99.4% 155.6
Reed Kamyszek 99.4% 160.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Martin Hehir 7.9 0.5 4.5 9.1 8.7 8.1 7.6 6.4 5.9 5.0 4.8 4.2 3.7 3.5 3.5 2.5 2.6 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.7
Robert Molke 10.2 0.3 1.6 4.4 5.7 6.3 6.9 6.2 5.9 6.6 5.0 5.1 4.4 4.1 3.9 4.0 3.3 2.3 2.3 2.7 1.8 2.1 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3
Griff Graves 11.4 0.2 1.1 2.6 4.0 5.0 5.9 5.7 5.9 6.6 5.5 5.4 4.6 4.8 4.3 3.8 3.3 3.2 2.8 2.4 2.3 1.9 2.1 1.8 1.6 1.5
MJ Erb 12.5 0.0 0.6 2.0 3.5 4.6 4.3 5.6 6.0 5.5 5.6 5.2 4.6 5.2 4.1 3.7 4.3 4.0 2.8 2.7 2.9 2.0 2.5 1.7 1.7 1.7
Joe Whelan 24.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.7 2.4 2.6 2.6 3.1 3.5 3.4 4.1 4.0 4.3 4.8 3.9 3.9 3.6
Ryan Urie 25.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.6 1.9 3.0 2.5 3.6 4.1 4.0 4.1 4.9 4.1 4.1 3.8 4.1
Reed Kamyszek 26.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.8 2.3 2.7 3.5 3.9 3.6 4.0 3.8 4.2 4.5 3.9 3.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 36.7% 100.0% 36.7 36.7 1
2 29.7% 100.0% 29.7 29.7 2
3 19.1% 100.0% 4.6 4.5 5.0 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.0 19.1 3
4 9.2% 98.7% 1.2 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 9.1 4
5 4.7% 93.2% 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.3 4.4 5
6 0.5% 75.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 6
7 0.0% 0.0 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 99.4% 36.7 29.7 4.6 5.7 6.0 5.0 3.0 1.8 1.7 1.3 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 66.5 33.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Wisconsin 99.7% 1.0 1.0
Indiana 99.6% 1.0 1.0
Michigan 99.5% 1.0 1.0
Eastern Kentucky 99.4% 1.0 1.0
North Carolina 96.8% 2.0 1.9
Notre Dame 95.9% 2.0 1.9
Providence 91.6% 2.0 1.8
Air Force 68.6% 1.0 0.7
Florida State 67.8% 1.0 0.7
Harvard 65.7% 1.0 0.7
Virginia 64.2% 1.0 0.6
Florida 59.3% 1.0 0.6
Georgia 55.0% 1.0 0.6
Dartmouth 23.0% 1.0 0.2
Georgetown 17.7% 1.0 0.2
Minnesota 17.1% 1.0 0.2
Washington 10.2% 1.0 0.1
Arizona State 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Tennessee 7.8% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 5.2% 2.0 0.1
Illinois 4.7% 1.0 0.0
Duke 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Virginia Tech 1.2% 1.0 0.0
UCLA 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Louisville 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 15.5
Minimum 10.0
Maximum 20.0