Texas-Arlington
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
509  Ryan Tilotta JR 33:01
525  Craig Lautenslager SO 33:03
706  Eric Ojeda FR 33:22
771  Emil Blomberg JR 33:29
847  Virgilio Martinez SO 33:37
1,634  Carlos Arias FR 34:44
1,842  Aaron Purser SR 35:02
1,941  Grant Copeland FR 35:13
2,236  Robert Gribble JR 35:48
2,252  Jake Powers SR 35:50
National Rank #110 of 311
South Central Region Rank #7 of 35
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 41.5%
Top 10 in Regional 96.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ryan Tilotta Craig Lautenslager Eric Ojeda Emil Blomberg Virgilio Martinez Carlos Arias Aaron Purser Grant Copeland Robert Gribble Jake Powers
Ken Garland Invitational 09/28 34:59 37:11
Cowboy Jamboree 09/28 1129 33:10 34:19 33:11 33:37 33:18 34:54 34:49
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/04 1079 32:49 32:38 33:26 33:38 34:34 36:51
Alabama Crimson Classic 10/18 1095 33:04 33:17 32:56 33:26 33:43 34:45 35:10 34:46 35:15 35:50
Sun Belt Conference Championships 11/02 1102 33:09 32:59 33:26 33:22 33:27 34:38 35:44 35:09
South Central Region Championships 11/15 1075 32:53 32:29 34:07 33:24 34:06 34:41 35:25





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 6.2 207 0.8 14.1 26.6 21.2 15.9 9.6 5.7 2.8 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Tilotta 2.5% 210.5
Craig Lautenslager 1.4% 208.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Tilotta 27.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.6 1.5 2.1 3.0 3.1 3.6 3.9 3.6 4.3 3.9 3.4 3.4
Craig Lautenslager 29.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.3 2.0 2.6 2.6 3.5 3.0 3.6 4.2 3.5 3.6 3.9
Eric Ojeda 40.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.0
Emil Blomberg 44.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3
Virgilio Martinez 49.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Carlos Arias 102.4
Aaron Purser 114.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.8% 0.8 3
4 14.1% 14.1 4
5 26.6% 26.6 5
6 21.2% 21.2 6
7 15.9% 15.9 7
8 9.6% 9.6 8
9 5.7% 5.7 9
10 2.8% 2.8 10
11 1.7% 1.7 11
12 0.9% 0.9 12
13 0.5% 0.5 13
14 0.2% 0.2 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0