Texas
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
14  Ryan Dohner SR 31:10
19  Craig Lutz JR 31:15
192  Mark Pinales JR 32:12
203  Chris Galvin SR 32:13
308  Collin Smith SR 32:34
363  Austin Roth SR 32:41
403  Eduardo Rodriguez JR 32:47
465  Will Nation JR 32:56
475  Brady Turnbull SO 32:57
715  Nate Moore FR 33:24
National Rank #18 of 311
South Central Region Rank #2 of 35
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.9%
Most Likely Finish 19th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 1.7%
Top 10 at Nationals 15.6%
Top 20 at Nationals 70.5%


Regional Champion 25.7%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ryan Dohner Craig Lutz Mark Pinales Chris Galvin Collin Smith Austin Roth Eduardo Rodriguez Will Nation Brady Turnbull Nate Moore
Texas Invitational 09/27 695 31:30 32:04 32:44 32:36 32:20 32:45 33:26
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 628 31:45 31:17 32:44 32:09 33:15 32:46 33:03 32:54 33:03
Big 12 Championships 11/02 527 31:00 31:23 32:08 32:28 32:27 32:36 32:48 32:59 33:23
South Central Region Championships 11/15 461 31:26 31:26 32:02 31:48 32:21 32:45 32:21
NCAA Championship 11/23 470 30:50 30:55 32:05 32:28 32:19 32:44 33:09





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.9% 16.9 430 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.4 2.1 2.8 3.5 4.1 3.9 5.2 4.6 5.3 6.1 6.1 5.9 6.0 6.2 5.6 5.2 4.8 5.1 4.3 3.5 2.3 1.8 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.0
Region Championship 100% 1.7 41 25.7 74.2 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Dohner 100% 19.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.0 3.2 3.9 3.7 4.1 3.4 3.6 3.5 2.9 2.6 2.6 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.0 2.4 1.8 1.6 2.1 1.9 1.8
Craig Lutz 100% 24.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.5 3.4 2.6 2.5 3.1 3.1 2.6 2.8 2.7 2.4 2.4 1.8 2.4 2.3 1.9 2.0 1.8 1.8
Mark Pinales 99.9% 144.8
Chris Galvin 99.9% 144.2
Collin Smith 99.9% 191.6
Austin Roth 99.9% 203.7
Eduardo Rodriguez 99.9% 211.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Dohner 2.5 8.8 24.0 34.5 22.5 5.8 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Craig Lutz 2.9 5.2 17.2 32.2 31.5 6.7 3.7 1.7 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Mark Pinales 8.7 0.6 3.7 9.3 13.5 13.7 13.2 9.2 7.5 5.5 4.3 3.5 2.4 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.2 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4
Chris Galvin 8.8 0.0 0.3 3.5 7.5 12.1 15.8 12.7 9.5 6.9 5.1 4.0 3.3 3.1 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7
Collin Smith 14.5 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.6 4.9 8.1 8.2 7.9 7.1 6.5 6.3 5.0 4.3 4.3 3.3 3.2 3.1 2.6 2.0 1.8 1.7
Austin Roth 17.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.2 5.0 5.8 6.7 6.6 5.3 5.5 5.2 4.6 4.8 3.9 3.3 2.6 3.1 2.7 2.8
Eduardo Rodriguez 20.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.5 2.2 3.4 4.8 5.7 6.5 6.3 5.4 4.7 4.4 4.3 3.6 3.5 3.2 3.1 3.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 25.7% 100.0% 25.7 25.7 1
2 74.2% 100.0% 74.2 74.2 2
3 0.1% 0.1 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
Total 100% 99.9% 25.7 74.2 0.1 99.9 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Florida 59.3% 1.0 0.6
Georgia 55.0% 1.0 0.6
Dartmouth 23.0% 1.0 0.2
Georgetown 17.7% 1.0 0.2
Minnesota 17.1% 1.0 0.2
Arizona State 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Tennessee 7.8% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 5.2% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 4.7% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma 4.4% 1.0 0.0
UCLA 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Louisville 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 2.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 7.0