Toledo
Men -
Women
2012
-
2013 -
2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
983 |
Hillary Serem |
JR |
33:49 |
1,085 |
Jake Kasperski |
JR |
33:58 |
1,446 |
Thomas Gibbons |
SO |
34:27 |
1,597 |
Trevin Flickinger |
SR |
34:41 |
1,651 |
Adam Smercina |
JR |
34:45 |
1,698 |
Adam Bess |
SO |
34:49 |
2,135 |
Ricky Adamson |
SR |
35:34 |
2,211 |
Nicholas Costello |
SO |
35:44 |
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National Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Regional Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 in Regional |
0.0% |
Top 10 in Regional |
0.0% |
Top 20 in Regional |
59.1% |
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Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Hillary Serem |
Jake Kasperski |
Thomas Gibbons |
Trevin Flickinger |
Adam Smercina |
Adam Bess |
Ricky Adamson |
Nicholas Costello |
Pre-National Invitational (White) |
10/19 |
1213 |
33:53 |
34:06 |
34:32 |
34:34 |
34:29 |
34:32 |
35:13 |
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Mid-American Championship |
11/02 |
1213 |
33:37 |
34:05 |
34:18 |
34:52 |
35:01 |
34:42 |
35:39 |
35:44 |
Great Lakes Region Championships |
11/15 |
1215 |
34:01 |
33:37 |
34:35 |
34:37 |
34:47 |
35:37 |
35:52 |
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NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
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21 |
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24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
0.0% |
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Region Championship |
100% |
20.4 |
598 |
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0.0 |
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0.1 |
0.4 |
1.6 |
6.6 |
17.6 |
32.6 |
20.2 |
11.0 |
6.2 |
2.6 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
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NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results
Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
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24 |
25 |
Hillary Serem |
90.6 |
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Jake Kasperski |
98.0 |
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Thomas Gibbons |
125.4 |
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Trevin Flickinger |
139.5 |
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Adam Smercina |
142.8 |
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Adam Bess |
146.4 |
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Ricky Adamson |
173.6 |
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NCAA Championship Selection Detail
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Total |
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Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
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At Large Selection |
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No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
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3 |
4 |
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11 |
12 |
13 |
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8 |
9 |
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9 |
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10 |
11 |
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11 |
12 |
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12 |
13 |
0.0% |
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0.0 |
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13 |
14 |
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14 |
15 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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15 |
16 |
0.4% |
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0.4 |
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16 |
17 |
1.6% |
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1.6 |
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17 |
18 |
6.6% |
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6.6 |
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18 |
19 |
17.6% |
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17.6 |
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19 |
20 |
32.6% |
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32.6 |
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20 |
21 |
20.2% |
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20.2 |
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21 |
22 |
11.0% |
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11.0 |
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22 |
23 |
6.2% |
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6.2 |
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23 |
24 |
2.6% |
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2.6 |
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24 |
25 |
0.7% |
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0.7 |
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25 |
26 |
0.2% |
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0.2 |
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26 |
27 |
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27 |
28 |
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28 |
29 |
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29 |
30 |
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30 |
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Total |
100% |
0.0% |
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100.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Received By Beating | Chance Received | Average If >0 | Average |
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Total |
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0.0 |
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Minimum |
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0.0 |
Maximum |
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0.0 |