Tulsa
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
45  Chris O'Hare SR 31:29
124  Andrew Heyes SR 31:57
129  Marc Scott SO 31:59
137  Adam Palamar FR 32:01
169  Danny Thater JR 32:09
270  Tim Rackers JR 32:27
1,010  Emmett Cookson SR 33:52
1,245  Jake McDonnell SO 34:11
1,602  Brian Tabb SR 34:41
1,859  Simon Greiner FR 35:04
National Rank #17 of 311
Midwest Region Rank #2 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 96.9%
Most Likely Finish 16th at Nationals


National Champion 0.2%
Top 5 at Nationals 4.3%
Top 10 at Nationals 21.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 66.4%


Regional Champion 6.3%
Top 5 in Regional 99.1%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Chris O'Hare Andrew Heyes Marc Scott Adam Palamar Danny Thater Tim Rackers Emmett Cookson Jake McDonnell Brian Tabb Simon Greiner
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/04 480 31:31 32:31 31:31 32:01 31:43 32:32 33:47 34:13
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 393 31:05 31:42 31:39 31:44 32:11 33:46
Conference USA Championships 11/02 719 31:55 32:03 32:30 32:15 32:42 33:46 34:27 34:41 35:05
Midwest Region Championships 11/15 545 31:42 31:50 31:49 32:05 32:24 33:55 33:53
NCAA Championship 11/23 756 31:27 31:56 32:47 34:01 32:30 34:19





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 96.9% 16.6 427 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.7 3.4 4.3 4.4 4.1 4.1 4.7 4.5 5.2 4.2 5.1 4.6 4.4 4.6 4.5 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.2 2.2 2.1 1.2 0.8 0.4
Region Championship 100% 2.4 83 6.3 55.2 30.0 5.9 1.8 0.7 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chris O'Hare 98.9% 44.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.8 1.7 1.8
Andrew Heyes 96.9% 107.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Marc Scott 97.0% 111.0 0.0 0.0
Adam Palamar 97.0% 117.7
Danny Thater 96.9% 135.9
Tim Rackers 96.9% 178.2
Emmett Cookson 97.1% 249.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chris O'Hare 5.0 5.5 10.7 10.9 11.7 11.7 9.7 6.8 5.5 4.0 3.3 2.8 2.1 1.7 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4
Andrew Heyes 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.8 3.2 4.5 4.9 5.9 5.5 5.4 5.9 4.7 4.5 4.1 3.3 3.8 3.1 2.9 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.1 2.1 1.9
Marc Scott 15.3 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 2.8 3.3 5.0 5.1 5.1 5.3 5.5 5.0 4.6 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.1 3.6 3.0 3.0 2.7 2.5 2.0 2.0
Adam Palamar 16.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.0 4.1 4.2 4.8 5.1 5.2 4.6 4.7 4.3 4.0 4.3 3.6 3.6 3.2 3.0 3.0 2.3 2.4 2.3
Danny Thater 20.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 2.2 2.5 3.5 3.6 3.5 4.0 3.9 4.9 4.3 4.1 3.9 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.1 2.4
Tim Rackers 32.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.7 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.1
Emmett Cookson 111.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 6.3% 100.0% 6.3 6.3 1
2 55.2% 100.0% 55.2 55.2 2
3 30.0% 98.1% 0.1 0.6 1.8 3.9 5.3 4.9 3.6 3.2 2.6 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.6 29.4 3
4 5.9% 95.9% 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.2 5.7 4
5 1.8% 18.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.5 0.3 5
6 0.7% 5.9% 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 6
7 0.2% 11.1% 0.0 0.2 0.0 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 96.9% 6.3 55.2 0.1 0.6 1.9 4.2 6.0 5.5 4.3 4.1 3.3 2.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 3.1 61.5 35.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Princeton 98.3% 2.0 2.0
Notre Dame 95.9% 1.0 1.0
New Mexico 93.9% 1.0 0.9
Colorado St. 72.5% 1.0 0.7
Florida State 67.8% 2.0 1.4
Virginia 64.2% 1.0 0.6
Minnesota 17.1% 1.0 0.2
Southern Utah 6.7% 2.0 0.1
Illinois 4.7% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma 4.4% 1.0 0.0
Boise State 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Butler 1.4% 2.0 0.0
Duke 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Virginia Tech 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Penn State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Kansas 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 7.1
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 13.0