Villanova
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
12  Patrick Tiernan FR 31:07
44  Sam McEntee JR 31:29
163  Robert Denault SO 32:08
175  Jordan Williamsz SO 32:10
232  Brian Basili JR 32:19
333  Alex Tully SR 32:38
383  Harry Warnick FR 32:45
485  Kevin Corbusier FR 32:58
568  Robert Hurlbut SO 33:07
973  Christopher O'Sullivan JR 33:48
1,054  Michael Palmisano 33:55
1,079  Charles Bates SO 33:57
1,119  Dusty Solis JR 34:01
1,473  Thomas Trainer SO 34:29
National Rank #15 of 311
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #1 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 93.1%
Most Likely Finish 15th at Nationals


National Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at Nationals 3.5%
Top 10 at Nationals 21.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 71.9%


Regional Champion 50.8%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Patrick Tiernan Sam McEntee Robert Denault Jordan Williamsz Brian Basili Alex Tully Harry Warnick Kevin Corbusier Robert Hurlbut Christopher O'Sullivan Michael Palmisano
Chile Pepper Festival 10/05 673 31:42 32:18 32:33 31:56 32:28 32:59 32:37 33:03
Princeton Invitational 10/19 699 32:10 32:10 32:11 32:10 32:32 32:38 32:58 33:03 33:14 33:49 33:55
Big East Championships 11/02 488 31:12 31:46 31:48 32:09 32:18 32:27 32:36 32:45 32:58
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/15 389 31:21 31:28 31:43 31:55 31:58 32:24 33:01
NCAA Championship 11/23 527 30:47 31:09 32:26 32:58 32:18 32:44 32:33





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 93.1% 15.5 409 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.8 2.3 3.0 3.9 4.2 4.5 5.0 4.7 5.0 5.5 5.8 5.4 5.6 4.8 4.3 4.4 4.3 3.7 3.7 2.8 2.1 1.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.1
Region Championship 100% 1.6 51 50.8 41.1 7.9 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Patrick Tiernan 100.0% 16.4 0.3 0.7 2.0 3.3 3.8 4.2 4.4 4.5 4.3 3.9 3.1 3.6 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.3 2.3 2.0 2.3 1.8 1.8 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.6
Sam McEntee 98.9% 45.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.4 1.6
Robert Denault 93.1% 133.8 0.0
Jordan Williamsz 93.2% 138.2
Brian Basili 93.1% 161.2
Alex Tully 93.1% 198.7
Harry Warnick 93.1% 207.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Patrick Tiernan 1.0 66.8 13.7 7.5 4.1 2.4 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Sam McEntee 2.7 9.9 27.9 18.4 12.3 6.9 5.4 3.5 3.5 2.8 2.1 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
Robert Denault 12.3 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.7 4.3 5.7 6.1 6.6 7.0 7.1 6.6 6.3 5.7 5.7 4.6 4.0 3.1 2.7 2.4 2.0 1.8 1.4 1.5 1.1
Jordan Williamsz 13.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 3.1 4.4 5.6 7.0 6.7 6.5 7.1 6.2 6.1 5.3 5.3 4.3 3.2 3.2 2.5 2.3 1.6 1.8 1.4 1.3
Brian Basili 16.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.4 1.8 3.0 4.2 5.1 6.0 6.6 6.7 6.6 6.2 5.4 4.7 4.5 3.9 3.5 2.4 2.7 2.3 1.9
Alex Tully 24.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.6 2.7 3.6 4.4 4.4 4.8 4.7 4.2 4.8 4.4 3.7 3.8
Harry Warnick 28.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.2 2.8 3.4 4.1 3.8 3.9 4.1 4.3 4.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 50.8% 100.0% 50.8 50.8 1
2 41.1% 100.0% 41.1 41.1 2
3 7.9% 14.2% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 6.7 1.1 3
4 0.2% 0.2 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 93.1% 50.8 41.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 6.9 91.9 1.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Providence 91.6% 1.0 0.9
Georgetown 17.7% 1.0 0.2
Butler 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0