Virginia
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
26  Kyle King SO 31:19
108  Thomas Porter SR 31:53
171  Adam Visokay FR 32:09
176  Zach Herriott FR 32:10
233  Drew Paisley SR 32:20
388  Thomas Madden FR 32:45
449  Christopher Foley JR 32:54
628  Mike Marsella FR 33:15
719  Jack St. Marie SO 33:25
National Rank #21 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #2 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 71.2%
Most Likely Finish 21st at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 1.5%
Top 10 at Nationals 9.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 43.2%


Regional Champion 23.2%
Top 5 in Regional 99.4%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Kyle King Thomas Porter Adam Visokay Zach Herriott Drew Paisley Thomas Madden Christopher Foley Mike Marsella Jack St. Marie
Virginia Panorama Farms Invitational 09/28 710 32:00 32:39 32:13 32:29 32:19 34:43 32:15 33:14
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/04 744 32:17 32:35 31:46 33:11 32:08 33:27 33:03
ACC Championships 11/01 668 31:40 31:52 32:29 32:26 32:25 32:47 33:47 33:07 34:21
Southeast Region Championships 11/15 436 31:01 31:20 32:13 31:49 32:17 32:18 33:07
NCAA Championship 11/23 454 30:59 31:33 32:04 31:49 32:31 32:24 32:42





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 71.2% 18.2 451 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.6 2.2 2.8 2.8 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.0 4.3 4.3 4.5 3.7 3.8 4.0 3.5 2.6 2.2 1.5 1.4 0.6 0.3
Region Championship 100% 2.3 94 23.2 34.0 32.7 8.0 1.6 0.5 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kyle King 99.0% 30.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.6 1.9 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.1 2.5 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.2 1.8 1.7 1.9
Thomas Porter 72.2% 90.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Adam Visokay 71.3% 131.5
Zach Herriott 71.2% 133.3
Drew Paisley 71.2% 158.2
Thomas Madden 71.2% 206.1
Christopher Foley 71.2% 219.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kyle King 3.6 6.2 16.9 18.0 15.1 11.7 7.6 5.6 3.5 2.7 2.2 1.7 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
Thomas Porter 12.1 0.1 0.5 1.1 3.3 5.1 6.7 7.1 7.2 6.7 6.3 5.3 5.0 4.1 3.9 3.1 3.4 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.3 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.6
Adam Visokay 19.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.4 2.2 2.7 3.1 4.0 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.2 4.7 5.1 4.3 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.0 3.4 3.2
Zach Herriott 20.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.2 2.0 2.6 3.4 3.7 3.9 4.6 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.0 4.4 4.1 4.1 3.9 3.9 3.0 2.9
Drew Paisley 25.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.4 1.6 2.1 2.1 2.8 3.3 3.5 3.9 3.8 4.5 4.2 4.0 4.0 4.1
Thomas Madden 44.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9
Christopher Foley 52.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 23.2% 100.0% 23.2 23.2 1
2 34.0% 100.0% 34.0 34.0 2
3 32.7% 39.2% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.7 4.4 19.9 12.8 3
4 8.0% 14.5% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 6.8 1.2 4
5 1.6% 5.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.1 5
6 0.5% 0.5 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 71.2% 23.2 34.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.1 2.8 4.8 28.8 57.2 14.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Florida State 67.8% 2.0 1.4
Auburn 14.4% 1.0 0.1
Southern Utah 6.7% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 5.2% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 4.7% 1.0 0.0
Butler 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Duke 1.2% 2.0 0.0
Virginia Tech 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.7
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 7.0