Arkansas
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
3  Stanley Kebenei SR 31:01
150  Gabe Gonzales JR 31:59
187  Alex George FR 32:07
247  Cale Wallace JR 32:19
430  Austen Dalquist FR 32:45
658  Aidan Swain SO 33:07
810  Christian Heymsfield SO 33:21
1,172  Ethan Moehn FR 33:54
1,366  Patrick Rono SR 34:07
1,890  Andrew Pisechko JR 34:51
2,313  Noah Findlay SO 35:33
National Rank #24 of 311
South Central Region Rank #1 of 35
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.2%
Most Likely Finish 25th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 10 at Nationals 1.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 31.9%


Regional Champion 56.6%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Stanley Kebenei Gabe Gonzales Alex George Cale Wallace Austen Dalquist Aidan Swain Christian Heymsfield Ethan Moehn Patrick Rono Andrew Pisechko Noah Findlay
Chili Pepper Festival 10/04 624 31:24 31:51 32:08 32:27 32:44 33:28 33:47 34:06 35:06 34:31
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 570 31:11 31:50 31:47 32:34 32:35 33:12 35:33
Wisconsin adidas Invitational - B 10/17 33:50 34:52 36:41
SEC Championships 10/31 590 31:01 31:49 32:15 32:08 33:05 34:17 33:13 34:29
South Region Championships 11/14 548 31:09 31:59 31:59 32:07 32:29 32:28 33:11
NCAA Championship 11/22 772 30:49 33:06 32:40 32:17 33:39 33:15 33:35





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.2% 22.6 556 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.7 2.2 2.4 3.4 4.6 4.1 5.0 5.5 6.6 6.6 6.9 6.7 7.3 7.1 7.3 6.7 5.4 4.2 2.2
Region Championship 100% 1.5 55 56.6 36.9 6.2 0.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Stanley Kebenei 100% 9.6 7.1 7.9 7.2 5.5 5.0 4.2 4.0 3.7 3.3 3.4 2.8 2.7 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0
Gabe Gonzales 99.5% 119.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
Alex George 99.5% 140.3
Cale Wallace 99.2% 170.2
Austen Dalquist 99.2% 217.4
Aidan Swain 99.2% 239.3
Christian Heymsfield 99.2% 246.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Stanley Kebenei 1.0 75.6 18.4 3.2 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Gabe Gonzales 5.1 0.1 3.6 14.3 17.6 13.4 10.2 8.0 6.2 4.3 3.4 3.1 2.3 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.3
Alex George 6.6 1.2 5.8 11.6 13.3 12.3 9.4 7.3 5.9 4.7 4.1 3.0 2.8 2.2 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.5
Cale Wallace 9.9 0.1 0.9 2.9 6.3 8.1 9.0 8.7 7.8 6.9 5.8 4.3 3.9 3.4 3.3 3.2 2.3 2.6 1.8 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.2
Austen Dalquist 23.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.4 1.8 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.4 3.7 3.7 3.9 4.1 3.8 4.4 3.8 3.5 3.8 3.6 3.3
Aidan Swain 36.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.7 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.9 2.5 2.5
Christian Heymsfield 45.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 56.6% 100.0% 56.6 56.6 1
2 36.9% 100.0% 36.9 36.9 2
3 6.2% 89.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 5.6 3
4 0.2% 41.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 4
5 5
6 0.0% 0.0 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
Total 100% 99.2% 56.6 36.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8 93.5 5.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Mississippi 90.9% 1.0 0.9
North Carolina 70.4% 1.0 0.7
Oklahoma 58.7% 1.0 0.6
Iowa State 42.0% 1.0 0.4
Minnesota 35.0% 1.0 0.4
Auburn 26.2% 1.0 0.3
Eastern Kentucky 22.6% 1.0 0.2
Princeton 14.7% 1.0 0.1
Lamar 13.6% 2.0 0.3
Illinois 7.6% 1.0 0.1
North Texas 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Stephen F. Austin 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.0% 1.0 0.0
South Alabama 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 4.0
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 10.0