Auburn
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
40  Ty McCormack SR 31:27
201  Kane Grimster SR 32:10
504  Niklas Buhner SR 32:51
572  Griffin Jaworski JR 32:59
687  Redatu Semeon JR 33:09
936  Francisco Hernandez SR 33:33
946  Coleman Churitch FR 33:35
1,170  Kevin Wyss FR 33:54
1,833  Mitchell Gomez FR 34:45
2,131  Wesley Curles FR 35:13
3,063  Jonathan Hardin SR 38:09
National Rank #49 of 311
South Region Rank #3 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 26.7%
Most Likely Finish 3rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.2%


Regional Champion 6.3%
Top 5 in Regional 99.8%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ty McCormack Kane Grimster Niklas Buhner Griffin Jaworski Redatu Semeon Francisco Hernandez Coleman Churitch Kevin Wyss Mitchell Gomez Wesley Curles Jonathan Hardin
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/26 750 31:12 31:56 33:06 32:56 32:49 33:12
FSU Invitational 10/10 1185 33:16 34:27 33:43 34:01 34:40 38:09
Alabama Crimson Classic 10/17 920 31:29 32:48 33:34 34:25 33:05 33:52 33:49 35:04 35:16
SEC Championships 10/31 723 31:13 32:09 32:31 32:39 32:57 34:05 33:17 34:15 35:02 35:44
South Region Championships 11/14 837 31:44 32:10 33:03 32:57 33:07 33:50 33:31
NCAA Championship 11/22 32:59 32:27





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 26.7% 29.0 707 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.6 2.2 3.2 4.8 6.1 7.6
Region Championship 100% 2.8 108 6.3 19.9 62.3 10.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ty McCormack 99.7% 42.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.4 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.4 1.5 1.7
Kane Grimster 68.8% 143.0
Niklas Buhner 27.0% 215.9
Griffin Jaworski 26.7% 224.0
Redatu Semeon 26.7% 233.8
Francisco Hernandez 26.8% 246.8
Coleman Churitch 26.8% 247.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ty McCormack 1.0 61.2 14.1 8.9 5.2 3.0 2.2 1.5 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
Kane Grimster 7.0 0.3 3.9 6.5 9.3 9.7 10.4 10.2 8.1 7.0 5.2 4.8 3.7 2.4 2.6 2.1 1.7 1.6 1.5 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4
Niklas Buhner 24.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.3 2.6 3.1 3.6 3.6 4.0 4.3 4.5 4.2 3.5 3.4 3.1 2.7 3.2
Griffin Jaworski 29.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.7 1.8 2.1 2.7 2.6 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.2
Redatu Semeon 37.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.9 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.7
Francisco Hernandez 56.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Coleman Churitch 57.8 0.0 0.0 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 6.3% 100.0% 6.3 6.3 1
2 19.9% 100.0% 19.9 19.9 2
3 62.3% 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 61.9 0.5 3
4 10.1% 10.1 4
5 1.1% 1.1 5
6 0.1% 0.1 6
7 0.0% 0.0 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 26.7% 6.3 19.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 73.3 26.2 0.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Stephen F. Austin 0.1% 1.0 0.0
South Alabama 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0