Butler
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
27  Erik Peterson JR 31:20
458  James Martin JR 32:47
478  Tom Curr SR 32:49
827  Bobby Johnson FR 33:23
843  Billy Thomas FR 33:25
977  Chris O'Brien FR 33:37
1,283  Keigan Culler JR 34:02
1,422  Harry Ellis SR 34:12
1,444  Matt Lumbar FR 34:14
2,011  Ethan Wagner FR 35:02
2,523  Michael Carey FR 36:01
2,712  Malik Mahmud FR 36:32
2,761  Harry Winter FR 36:41
2,829  Jon Kortman JR 36:54
2,848  George Mertens FR 36:59
2,960  Dylan McElhenny FR 37:32
3,001  Madison Velcheck FR 37:46
National Rank #64 of 311
Great Lakes Region Rank #8 of 31
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 1.0%
Top 10 in Regional 77.8%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Erik Peterson James Martin Tom Curr Bobby Johnson Billy Thomas Chris O'Brien Keigan Culler Harry Ellis Matt Lumbar Ethan Wagner Michael Carey
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/03 857 31:18 32:40 32:45 33:27 33:11 33:46 34:11
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue Race) 10/18 963 31:11 33:26 33:32 33:21 34:27
Illini Open 10/24 1408 35:20 36:01
Big East Championships 10/31 937 31:28 33:37 32:52 33:29 33:26 33:39 33:39 34:38 34:43
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/14 874 31:45 32:20 32:51 33:07 33:32 33:51 34:16
NCAA Championship 11/22 31:03





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 9.1 273 1.0 6.4 15.3 17.2 20.1 17.8 11.2 6.9 3.2 0.7 0.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erik Peterson 98.0% 29.8 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.3 1.7 1.7 2.0 2.4 1.9 1.7 2.0 1.9 1.7 2.6 2.0 2.0 2.1 1.9 1.9 1.6 1.7 2.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erik Peterson 3.9 8.8 14.1 14.8 13.8 10.3 7.3 5.2 4.0 3.6 2.5 2.0 2.1 1.8 1.4 1.2 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2
James Martin 49.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Tom Curr 50.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
Bobby Johnson 80.0
Billy Thomas 82.5
Chris O'Brien 94.9
Keigan Culler 121.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 1.0% 1.0 5
6 6.4% 6.4 6
7 15.3% 15.3 7
8 17.2% 17.2 8
9 20.1% 20.1 9
10 17.8% 17.8 10
11 11.2% 11.2 11
12 6.9% 6.9 12
13 3.2% 3.2 13
14 0.7% 0.7 14
15 0.2% 0.2 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Bradley 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0