Colorado St.
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
44  Jerrell Mock FR 31:30
66  Jefferson Abbey SO 31:41
248  Alex Dillenbeck SR 32:19
261  Andrew Goodman SR 32:22
315  Grant Fischer FR 32:30
437  Byron Jones SR 32:46
510  Joe Marchand SR 32:52
541  Adam Hartman SO 32:56
761  Chris Ganem JR 33:16
974  Ricardo Kaempfen SO 33:37
1,566  Nick Costello FR 34:24
1,798  Nick Korhumel FR 34:42
2,082  Justin Weinmeister FR 35:09
National Rank #26 of 311
Mountain Region Rank #5 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 91.3%
Most Likely Finish 22nd at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 1.8%
Top 20 at Nationals 34.4%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 61.2%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jerrell Mock Jefferson Abbey Alex Dillenbeck Andrew Goodman Grant Fischer Byron Jones Joe Marchand Adam Hartman Chris Ganem Ricardo Kaempfen Nick Costello
Roy Griak Invitational 09/27 446 31:04 31:31 31:45 32:43 32:20 32:07 33:05 32:57 34:08 34:12
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/03 642 31:46 31:45 32:27 32:09 32:47 32:38 32:53 32:50 33:18
Mountain West Championships 10/03 727 31:55 31:58 32:31 32:35 32:28 32:59 33:17 32:53 33:28
Rocky Mountain Shootout 10/04 33:03 34:30
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue Race) 10/18 570 31:27 31:51 32:07 32:01 32:38 33:44 32:55
Mountain Region Championships 11/14 556 31:16 31:15 32:27 32:34 32:12 34:01 33:08
NCAA Championship 11/22 536 31:26 31:38 32:01 34:00 32:14 32:25 32:49





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 91.3% 22.0 545 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.7 2.4 2.7 3.8 4.0 4.7 4.6 5.9 5.6 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.2 5.6 5.6 5.0 4.3 3.9 2.4
Region Championship 100% 5.2 153 0.6 3.6 18.5 38.6 28.9 7.1 2.4 0.5



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jerrell Mock 96.5% 46.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.5 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.1
Jefferson Abbey 94.1% 70.7 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.7
Alex Dillenbeck 91.3% 165.9
Andrew Goodman 91.3% 175.6
Grant Fischer 91.3% 192.5
Byron Jones 91.3% 217.3
Joe Marchand 91.3% 224.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jerrell Mock 11.4 0.2 0.8 1.5 2.4 3.2 4.9 6.1 7.1 7.4 7.2 7.2 5.4 4.8 4.0 3.1 3.2 3.1 2.8 2.4 2.6 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.5 1.6
Jefferson Abbey 16.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.4 2.1 3.2 4.3 4.9 5.9 6.0 5.4 5.2 4.5 4.5 3.9 3.9 3.4 3.0 3.2 2.4 2.5 2.5 1.9
Alex Dillenbeck 37.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.6
Andrew Goodman 39.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.1
Grant Fischer 43.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3
Byron Jones 50.2 0.0
Joe Marchand 52.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.6% 100.0% 0.6 0.6 2
3 3.6% 100.0% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 3.6 3
4 18.5% 99.8% 0.1 0.3 0.3 1.3 3.0 3.9 3.5 2.5 1.9 0.9 0.6 0.0 0.0 18.4 4
5 38.6% 98.9% 0.1 0.3 0.3 1.2 5.4 8.2 8.2 6.6 4.2 2.4 1.3 0.4 38.1 5
6 28.9% 92.1% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.1 1.9 6.0 6.8 6.1 4.4 2.3 26.6 6
7 7.1% 55.8% 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.2 1.4 3.1 3.9 7
8 2.4% 0.8% 0.0 2.3 0.0 8
9 0.5% 0.5 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 91.3% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.5 5.0 9.9 13.0 12.9 14.9 13.0 10.4 7.1 8.7 0.6 90.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 91.6% 2.0 1.8
Mississippi 90.9% 1.0 0.9
Michigan State 90.5% 1.0 0.9
North Carolina 70.4% 1.0 0.7
Iowa State 42.0% 1.0 0.4
Minnesota 35.0% 1.0 0.4
Tulsa 27.3% 1.0 0.3
Princeton 14.7% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 11.6% 2.0 0.2
Illinois 7.6% 1.0 0.1
Penn State 6.9% 2.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 1.8% 2.0 0.0
North Texas 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Texas-Arlington 0.4% 2.0 0.0
Iowa 0.3% 2.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 2.0 0.0
Cornell 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Penn 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Yale 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 6.1
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 11.0